Episode 2735 CWSA 01/30/25

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Real Coffee with Scott Adams 1h 22m 2 speakers 5 chapters transcribed
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What tragic event occurred in the Potomac?

Scott Adams 0:46
Well, as you know, the big news, tragically, is a jet crashed with an American Airlines regional flight. It was a Black Hawk jet. And it fell in the Potomac, I guess. The debris from both. Everybody died. It was a mid-air collision, so there was not much chance. And they fell in the icy water. So it looks like at least 60 people, which would be all the people on the jet, and maybe a crew of three, I think. Not everybody's been located, but there's not much chance of survival. Zero, basically. So we're still in the fog of war period, but people are speculating, how could this happen? It's such a normal thing for there to be traffic in that part of the world, and all of that advanced technology should have seen each other. But that's what people who are not pilots say. Would you like to hear what a pilot says? Which is very different from what you and I are saying. Because here's you and I trying to figure out the situation. Huh.
Scott Adams 1:58
If I looked out the window of my helicopter, would I be able to see a gigantic airplane coming my way? I think I would. So it doesn't make sense I didn't see it. And if I were in a giant airline, would I be able to see a helicopter coming toward me? Well, of course I would, because... You know, I don't know anything about airplanes, but I can look out a window and I can see a thing. But here's what an actual, an expert in Black Hawk helicopters tells us. Here's somebody who follows me on X, so I was alerted to this one. Mark McEtherin says, I was a Black Hawk helicopter crew chief in the Army. Okay, that's exactly who I want to hear from. And not only that, but he was a flight instructor. Okay. Now we're talking to the right person.
Scott Adams 2:50
I want to know, somebody who's an expert in these helicopters, how hard is it to spot other traffic? And the bottom line is, it's super hard, even for the experts. So you could actually have this accident happen without much going wrong. I hate to say it, but It might not be that anybody did anything wrong in quotes. It could have been this is just a really hard thing to do. So he talks about the massive responsibility of the people who are the crew for the helicopter, Blackhawk specifically. And part of their job is to be the extra eyes for the pilot. So they're the ones who are looking for the extra things that the pilot might not spot. And he said, I can tell you after doing this for hundreds of hours,
Scott Adams 3:43
Even when you know exactly where a Black Hawk is and you have night vision goggles on, it is extremely, in all capital letters, hard to see the aircraft. So from the perspective of the commercial flight, seeing it probably wasn't even an option. I mean, it's just really, really, really, really hard to see. So my current view on this is that it's still fog of war. We don't know exactly when wrong, but the most likely is that it was just really, really hard situation for even experienced pilots, even with all the electronics in the world. And it probably was just a very unfortunate, perfect storm of something being in exactly the wrong place at the wrong time. That's my guess. My guess is that there will be no specific blame. I feel like it was just hard.
Scott Adams 4:44
And some people say we're lucky we haven't had more of these because the odds of something like this happening are pretty good just in general. So the fact that one happened doesn't mean anything new is added to the story necessarily.

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