Big boosts to fill: SpaceX’s giant IPO

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The Intelligence from The Economist 24 min 4 speakers 8 chapters transcribed 14 days ago
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What is the opening overview of today’s episode?

Jason Palmer 0:03
The Economist.
Rosie Bloor 0:10
Hello and welcome to the intelligence from the Economist. I'm Rosie Plore.
Jason Palmer 0:14
And I'm Jason Palmer.
Rosie Bloor 0:19
Today on the show, why a young men souring on Donald Trump and how the judgment of Paris changed the world of wine.
Unknown 0:34
But first
Tim Cross 0:43
Later today, SpaceX are going to try to launch the third version of their enormous, powerful and very troublesome Starship rocket.

Why has the Starship launch been postponed multiple times?

Rosie Bloor 0:53
Tim Cross is a senior science writer at The Economist.
Tim Cross 0:56
The launch has been postponed over and over again. It was supposed to happen on Tuesday, then Wednesday, then Thursday.
Unknown 1:02
We got the vehicle totally loaded. We hit a couple of different holds as we work through that count. Again, new rocket, new pad. We're learning about a lot a lot about these systems as we execute them for the first time. And we're not able to basically troubleshoot all of these issues in those final seconds to get to launch.
Tim Cross 1:20
The aim of the mission, which is Starship's 12th test flight, is to try out a whole series of upgrades that are supposed to make it easier to recover the second stage of the rocket from orbit. And if that works, it'll be a big step towards SpaceX's goal of eventually building a vast fleet of these things. SpaceX's launches often get a lot of coverage, but this one gets even more than most, and that's because earlier this week the company kicked off the countdown towards another historic launcher. Launch, this time of the biggest IPO ever. Next month they're hoping to raise up to $75 billion from investors.

How big is SpaceX’s planned IPO compared with past record offerings?

Rosie Bloor 1:54
Tim, a lot of big, bold ambitions there. Before we get to the IPO, just tell me a little bit more about what this space mission was supposed to achieve.
Tim Cross 2:06
So it's supposed to to help turn Starship into a fully reusable rocket. And reusability is what SpaceX has always been about, right? If you speak to Elon Musk, he'll say, Rockets are crazy. We build them, we fly them once, and then we dump them into the ocean or dump them into space and have to build a new one each time. His favorite analogy is air travel. You build a plane, you fly it to an airport, you blow it up, and you have to build a whole new one. You couldn't possibly have cheap air travel or really any air travel with a model like that. So SpaceX wants to turn rockets basically into things that are a bit more like aeroplanes.

What are the three main businesses that make up SpaceX?

Tim Cross 2:38
They've sort of done that with their existing rocket, the Falcon 9. The bottom half of that, the first stage, can be reused, but not yet the top stage. What are the things with Starship? that they're trying to do is make it so that both stages can be reused. And this is what all these test flights really are in aid of, getting it to a point where you can land this thing in a condition that with a fairly minimal amount of work, it's ready to fly again soon.
Rosie Bloor 3:02
So all of these test flights are of course very expensive, as are SpaceX expansion missions overall. Presumably that is the basis of the company wanting to list its shares publicly now.
Tim Cross 3:16
Yeah, it's interesting because if you look back in history, you can get endless quotes of Musk himself or Gwyn Shotwell, who's the president of the company, saying we're never going to take SpaceX public or we'll only take it public when we're regularly flying to Mars. Musk, he's got experience with public markets, obviously, through Tesla, and he's said many times he basically thinks they're too short termist, they're too obsessed with quarterly performance. This isn't suitable for a firm whose eventual goal is to build a city on Mars.

How will full‑stage reusability of Starship change launch costs?

Tim Cross 3:40
But I think Like you said, if you look at the IPO, the amount of money they're having to spend on the various ambitions they have along the way. So developing Starship is part of that, but building out Starlink and I think crucially building this fleet of space going data centers that they want, all that is looking like it's going to be very, very expensive. And I think the best guess is it's just too hard to raise that kind of money from private markets.
Rosie Bloor 4:05
This is being talked about as the biggest IPO in history, is that right?
Tim Cross 4:10
We think so. So they want to raise about seventy five billion dollars, which is quite a bit more than Saudi Aramco, the previous record owner, raised when it went public in twenty nineteen.

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