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The President's Daily Brief

December 29th, 2025: How China Is Exploiting Russia & U.S. Strikes ISIS

29 Dec 2025

Transcription

Chapter 1: What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

0.031 - 36.185 Mike Baker

Looking to diversify and protect your hard-earned assets? Well, schedule a free consultation with the Birch Gold Group. They're the precious metals specialists. Just text PDB to the number 989-898 and you'll receive a free no-obligation information kit and you'll learn how to convert an existing IRA or a 401k into a gold IRA. Again, text PDB to 989-898. It's Monday, the 29th of December.

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36.285 - 58.555 Mike Baker

We are almost to the very end of 2025. Well, I hope all had a very happy and peaceful and relaxing Christmas. And, of course, Boxing Day. Don't forget Boxing Day. Welcome to the President's Daily Brief. I'm Mike Baker. Your eyes and ears on the world stage. All right. Let's get briefed. First up, China and Russia. Well, they look closer than ever.

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59.056 - 77.407 Mike Baker

But what's being sold as partnership is really a story about leverage and dependence and who's quietly calling the shots. I'll explain how Beijing is exploiting Russian weakness. Later in the show, Christmas Day airstrikes in Nigeria. That doesn't sound very festive. The U.S.

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77.567 - 101.323 Mike Baker

hits ISIS hard, and President Trump makes it clear there's a limit to how long the killing of Christians in Nigeria will be tolerated. Plus, Israel announces it has killed an Iranian Quds Force member involved in planning attacks across the region. And finally, in today's back of the brief, Israel becomes the first country to formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state.

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101.764 - 122.438 Mike Baker

And that's a move that is drawing sharp condemnation from the international community. But first, today's PDB Spotlight. Today we're starting off with a topic that's worth looking at as we wrap up our final week of the PDB for 2025. Now, over the past 12 months, we've heard a lot about the growing ties between Russia and China.

122.819 - 148.872 Mike Baker

It's a blossoming bromance that is supposedly built on shared interests and respect. The two countries appear closer than ever before, but appearances, of course, as usual, are in fact deceiving. And that brings us to a handy rule of thumb that I like to use when trying to understand Beijing's moves. When China makes a move, when they take some decision, it's doing what's best for China, always.

148.852 - 173.239 Mike Baker

If you strip away the rhetoric about strategic partnerships and multipolar worlds and no-limits friendships, you'll almost always find Beijing pursuing its own interests, economic leverage, strategic advantage and long-term influence. And nowhere is that dynamic clearer than in China's relationship with Russia, ever since Putin launched his full-scale invasion of Ukraine back in 2022.

173.219 - 184.374 Mike Baker

Now, on the surface, it can look like China has thrown Russia a lifeline, and they have in a sense, buying its energy, expanding trade, providing diplomatic cover, and refusing to join Western sanctions.

185.135 - 208.457 Mike Baker

But if you look closer, you'll quickly realize that every way that China is helping Russia is in reality an act of exploitation, one that strengthens Beijing while locking Moscow into a position of dependency. It's not an alliance of equals, in other words. It's a relationship where one side has options and the other, well, really doesn't. One of the clearest examples, of course, is energy.

Chapter 2: How is China exploiting Russia's dependency amid the Ukraine war?

291.188 - 307.67 Mike Baker

Since 2022, trade between China and Russia has surged, often held up as evidence that sanctions didn't work. But what they're trading and who benefits tells a different story. China exports far more to Russia than Russia exports to China, and the gap is widening.

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308.211 - 332.194 Mike Baker

Russia increasingly relies on Chinese machinery, electronics, vehicles, and consumer goods to replace what it once imported from Europe. Meanwhile, China imports mostly raw materials, oil and gas, coal, timber, and metals. It's a lopsided trade relationship. Russia is mostly selling raw materials, while China is selling finished products and locking in Russia as a long-term customer.

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332.995 - 355.188 Mike Baker

Even the shift to settling trade in yuan rather than dollars, often portrayed as a blow to Western financial dominance, primarily benefits China. It internationalizes the Chinese currency and pulls Russia deeper into China's financial ecosystem, where Beijing, not Moscow, sets the rules. Again, Russia gains survival, but China gains control.

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355.949 - 374.963 Mike Baker

And the economic side of this partnership is only part of the story. On the diplomatic front, China presents itself as a neutral actor, calling for peace while echoing Russia's talking points about NATO expansion and security concerns. It's a posture that costs China very little in reality and yields major benefits.

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374.943 - 395.747 Mike Baker

By refusing to condemn Moscow outright, Beijing keeps Russia aligned with its broader vision of a world less dominated by the US. At the same time, China positions itself as a potential mediator, enhancing its global stature without committing troops, money, or political capital. For Russia, this support is largely symbolic.

396.088 - 419.111 Mike Baker

It doesn't translate into security guarantees or military alliances or binding commitments, but it does reinforce Russia's reliance on China as one of the few major powers willing to stand beside it diplomatically. Again, China gains influence, Russia gains what? Maybe talking points. Perhaps the most revealing exploitation is happening not in Ukraine, but in Central Asia.

419.692 - 441.275 Mike Baker

Historically, Russia has viewed that region as its backyard. But since 2022, Moscow's attention, of course, and resources have been consumed by its invasion into Ukraine. China has taken advantage, expanding investment, infrastructure projects, and political influence through trade corridors and security cooperation. It's not confrontation, it's replacement.

441.295 - 463.576 Mike Baker

China is slowly supplanting Russia as the dominant external power in parts of Central Asia, leveraging economic tools rather than tanks. Moscow, weakened and overstretched, can do little to stop it. When Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin declared a, quote, no-limits partnership in early 2022, it sounded like the foundation of a new authoritarian bloc.

463.977 - 479.886 Mike Baker

In practice, the limits have been obvious and consistently enforced by Beijing. China has not provided Russia with direct military assistance. It has not jeopardized its access to Western markets. It has not tied its own economic fate to Moscow's war.

Chapter 3: How has the relationship between China and Russia evolved since 2022?

1026.272 - 1052.477 Mike Baker

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1052.98 - 1065.055 Mike Baker

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1065.496 - 1067.682 Unknown

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1070.767 - 1091.512 Mike Baker

In today's Back of the Brief, Israel crossed a diplomatic line that others have not been willing to approach, formally recognizing the self-declared Republic of Somaliland. The move triggered backlash and is raising questions about what Jerusalem hopes to gain from the move. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu moved quickly to sell the decision as practical and forward-looking.

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1091.933 - 1113.818 Mike Baker

He said the Jewish state would move to build cooperation with Somaliland across agricultural and health and technology and economic interests. In a statement, Netanyahu congratulated Somaliland's president, praised his leadership and extended an invitation to visit Israel, a signal that Jerusalem views the recognition less as symbolism and more as the start of a working relationship.

1113.798 - 1133.477 Mike Baker

Netanyahu also described the move as being, quote, in the spirit of the Abraham Accords signed during President Trump's first term. As we've discussed here on the PDB, the 2020 agreement normalized Israel's ties with several Arab states, including the UAE and Bahrain, and helped redraw parts of the region's diplomatic map.

1133.457 - 1152.587 Mike Baker

By invoking that precedent, Netanyahu appeared to be situating Somaliland's recognition inside a broader playbook, one that treats diplomatic risk as a tool rather than a liability. Somaliland's president welcomed the move, saying his country would join the Abraham Accords and casting the decision as a step toward regional peace.

1153.048 - 1162.859 Mike Baker

He says Somaliland is committed to boosting shared prosperity and promoting stability across the Middle East and Africa. But reaction from Mogadishu, as you might imagine, was sharp.

Chapter 4: What are the economic consequences of China's energy deals with Russia?

1163.359 - 1182.734 Mike Baker

Somalia's government condemned Israel's decision as a, quote, unlawful step and a deliberate attack on its sovereignty, rejecting any recognition of Somaliland. In a statement from the prime minister's office, Somalia said it would pursue diplomatic and legal measures to defend its territorial integrity. And the pushback spread beyond Somalia.

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1183.255 - 1202.769 Mike Baker

Egypt's foreign minister held calls with counterparts in Turkey and Djibouti to discuss what they described as dangerous developments in the Horn of Africa following Israel's announcement. According to Egypt's foreign ministry, the officials reaffirmed their support for Somalia's unity and warned that recognizing breakaway regions poses a threat to security.

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1203.73 - 1222.375 Mike Baker

For background, Somaliland has spent more than three decades operating as a de facto state. It broke away in 1991, after Somalia's government collapsed into civil war, and has since maintained its own government, currency, and security forces, though no country had formally recognized it. That is, until now.

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1222.625 - 1246.99 Mike Baker

But beyond the smiles and handshakes between Jerusalem and Somaliland, the timing of Israel's move has drawn some questions. Back in March, Somalia and Somaliland denied receiving a proposal from Israel to resettle Palestinians from Gaza, with Mogadishu saying it categorically rejected any such idea. And that, my friends, is the President's Daily Brief for Monday, the 29th of December.

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1247.19 - 1270.398 Mike Baker

Now, if you have any questions or comments, please reach out to me at pdbatthefirsttv.com. And, yeah, don't forget to send in your New Year's resolutions. You can send those also to pdbatthefirsttv.com. We'd love to compile a list of our favorite New Year's resolutions from the PDB community. Now, hopefully Santa brought you a subscription to our YouTube channel. Maybe he left it under the tree.

1270.878 - 1288.71 Mike Baker

But if not, just head on over to YouTube and search up at President's Daily Brief. If you like what you see, and how could you not? Well, just hit the subscribe button. I'm Mike Baker, and I'll be back later today with the PDB Afternoon Bulletin. Until then, stay informed, stay safe, stay cool.

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