PDB Situation Report | March 15th, 2025: Trump Calls Putin’s Bluff & Syria Erupts in Violence

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What major development occurred in the Ukraine conflict?

Mike Baker 0:12
Welcome to the PDB Situation Report. Oh, is it that time of the week again? I'm Mike Baker. Your eyes and ears on the world stage. All right, let's get briefed. We'll start things off with a major development in the war in Ukraine. After high-level talks in Saudi Arabia, Kyiv has agreed to a 30-day ceasefire. But you ask yourself, isn't there another player in this? And there is.

Will Russia agree to a 30-day ceasefire?

Mike Baker 0:36
What will Russia do? And will they agree at all to the terms of a 30-day ceasefire? We'll break it all down with Fred Fleitz. He's a former National Security Council chief of staff and the vice chair of the America First Policy Institute's Center for American Security. That's hard to fit on one business card. Later in the show, we turn to Syria, where a major outbreak of violence is threatening to push the country deeper into chaos. Reports of massacres are emerging as the fragile government struggles to maintain control. We'll get analysis from David Dowd, senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. But first, today's Situation Report Spotlight. Ukraine has agreed to a 30-day ceasefire with Russia following high-level negotiations in Saudi Arabia. Now, the announcement came after hours of discussions in Jeddah on Tuesday, where the US also confirmed it would immediately lift its paws on intelligence sharing with Kyiv and resume military aid.
Mike Baker 1:34
Now, the talks mark a significant shift in ceasefire negotiations, which had stalled, of course, after a tense exchange, I think we all saw that, between the Ukrainian and U.S. presidents at the White House. Now, attention turns to Moscow, with American and Ukrainian officials making it clear that the next move is up to Russia. The Kremlin, however, is treading carefully, saying it won't rush to a decision. You have to ask yourself, why would they? They appear to have the upper hand on the battlefield currently. Russian officials are waiting to hear directly from Washington about a possible call between Presidents Trump and Putin later this week. Okay, joining me now to break it all down is Fred Fleitz, former National Security Council Chief of Staff and Vice Chair of the America First Policy Institute Center for American Security. Fred, thank you very much for taking the time to join us here on the Situation Report. Good to be here. But most important, like you, I'm a former CIA officer. That is very, very true.
Mike Baker 2:34
And I do believe our paths crossed a handful of times, at least in the hallways. I never had the good fortune. I don't even know if you'd call it that. Maybe the bad fortune of doing a headquarters tour. during my time. But yeah, I know how you felt about your time in. I loved it. I had a wonderful career with the organization. I really enjoyed it. I don't know whether they would say the same thing about me with them, but I certainly had a good time.
Fred Fleitz 3:02
I had a good time. There were good times and bad times, mostly good. I was an analyst. You were an operator. I wrote quite a few PDPs, which is why I wanted to be on this show. I know a lot about the PDP. I want to see it improved. It's politicized, watered down. It might be a good topic for another show.

What is the situation in Syria and how is it evolving?

Mike Baker 3:20
Yeah, you know what? That would actually be a great thing to talk about. And yeah, I just saw yesterday, not to get off track, I think we are getting off track, but not to get off track, but I just saw that the Trump administration revoked access for President Biden to the PDB. So... I'm not even sure if President Biden knew he was getting the PDB at this point, but there you go. Anyway, sorry about that. You know what? That was a low blow, and I apologize. All right, let's go straight into the main topic of the day, and that would be the Ukraine-Russia conflict. I'm going to let you run with this. It's a wide open playing field. Talk to me about where we are currently with this conflict.
Fred Fleitz 4:03
Well, we know that for years, President Trump has been saying that the priority for the United States should be to stop the killing. He believes that the previous policy of Joe Biden and the Europeans to just plow weapons into Ukraine for as long as it takes was not a sensible policy because there was no strategy for either Ukraine to win the war or to push Russia out.

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