Manifold

service
9 mentions 5 recordings first heard Feb 2023 last heard 27 Jul ↑6 vs the 6 months before

Prediction‑market platform allowing users to trade on future events

Trend

mentions per week · public audio 7d30d6M12M
3 · 18 Mar MarAprJunJulSepnow

Peak in the week of 18 Mar — 3 mentions across 1 series.

Moments

newest first · ▶ plays the moment
Will BaudeDivided Argument · The Based Direction · 7:10 · 27 Jul
…I subscribe to the Manifold app, which is all play money.…
· Open transcript →
Sophia PucciniThe a16z Show · Robin Hanson on Prediction Markets, Gambling, and the Future... · 11:01 · 26 May
…Manifold markets ran manifold love, and it didn't work.…
· Open transcript →
Sophia PucciniThe a16z Show · Robin Hanson on Prediction Markets, Gambling, and the Future... · 10:50 · 26 May
…So I wanted to pause on that because there actually is a real-life empirical example of prediction markets applied to dating, which was manifold love.…
· Open transcript →
UnknownLessWrong (Curated & Popular) · "PSA: Predictions markets often have very low liquidity; be ... · 5:36 · 20 Mar
…The tweet includes a prediction market graph from Manifold showing……
Eye YouLessWrong (Curated & Popular) · "PSA: Predictions markets often have very low liquidity; be ... · 5:01 · 20 Mar
…What about the manifold market Scott cites?…
UnknownLessWrong (Curated & Popular) · "PSA: Predictions markets often have very low liquidity; be ... · 3:13 · 20 Mar
…The tweet includes a prediction market graph from Manifold showing……
Tracy AllowayOdd Lots · Odd Lots Live: What to Watch on Election Night and Beyond · 3:18 · Nov 2024
…Okay, but Zvi, in addition to all those things, set……
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