Weather markets

concept
2 mentions 1 recordings first heard May 2026 last heard 26 May ±0 this week

Prediction‑market contracts that settle based on weather outcomes

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Robin HansonThe a16z Show · Robin Hanson on Prediction Markets, Gambling, and the Future... · 12:27 · 26 May
…In fact, in this Minnesota case that we were just talking about, the reason why we're talking is Minnesota said, oh, we don't want prediction markets.…
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UnknownThe a16z Show · Robin Hanson on Prediction Markets, Gambling, and the Future... · 12:18 · 26 May
…So for example, weather markets on, you know, Polymarket or Kalshi, sports, which accounts for like 80%.…
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