Aaron David Miller

speaker
716 appearances 16 recordings 3 series first heard Oct 2025 last heard 12 Jun

Aaron David Miller’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months
8 · Jun OctJan 26AprJulnow

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 16 in all, peaking in Jun 2026 with 8.

Appearances

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And it's hard to believe, but I think both sides still believe that the other will somehow cave under pressure.
All of this suggests to me that neither side
or both sides continue to believe that they have the potential to get what they want, they have the potential to escalate if they don't,
The subtext here is, look what you got me into.
You persuaded me that at a minimum,
The conditions for regime change would be laid as a consequence of what I've done.
Trump has to be beside himself with frustration and hot anger.
We could be on the cusp of a serious escalation, largely because I think both sides still believe that they have the power to escalate.
Both sides believe that time is still on their side and that the pain threshold of the other is lower.
It was.
I think to have a successful negotiation, Dave, you really need three elements, three keys.
You need two parties who are willing and able and are prepared to use diplomacy, not to browbeat or to issue demands for each side, but to actually create some sort of balance of interest.
Number two, you need a shared sense of urgency.
Let's say the Iranian clock and the American clock need to be in sync.
Both need to feel a certain amount of pain on one hand and
through negotiations could realize a certain amount of gain on the other.
And finally, you need an end product, right?
Some agreement, some deal, text.
I think it was the great Hollywood mogul who said that an oral agreement isn't worth the paper it's written on.
So you need these three things.
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