Adam Posen
speaker
1,220 appearances
2 recordings
1 series
first heard Aug 2025
last heard 1 Sep
Adam Posen’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Sep 2026 with 1.
Appearances
Those are the only two things tariffs are.
It's a fair question.
We've done a lot of work at the Peterson Studio, colleagues of mine that we've published and others have done slightly different work and we all come out in roughly the same place.
This is the way the Trump administration is doing it in terms of the short term economic outlook is it's a tax hike, it's stagflationary, meaning it's raising inflation at the same time as slowing growth.
It's collecting a sizable chunk of revenue.
on the order of two hundred, two hundred and fifty billion a year at an annual rate.
at this very high level of taxes.
That will probably diminish over time because people get around that kind of tax and people choose to produce things elsewhere.
And people evade it.
But for the moment it's a significant tax increase.
That
Would have been better done through more efficient means.
It also is gonna do nothing for manufacturing because what it does on net is well, there are certain industries that are being helped, as I know you've covered in your supply chain stories.
You know, there are a lot of small businesses or even big businesses that have imported inputs, whether from China or elsewhere, and it costs them and it's gonna be very hard.
to replace that and it's very expensive.
And then you've got the issue again, which I know you've covered, but has to be said that there aren't American workers.
For good reason.
There aren't American workers who wanna be sitting there screwing screws into the back of iPhones.
Um I don't mean to keep picking on Apple, but it's just it's a it's a clear example.
So you either have to pay them an um incredible amount for that or you have to let somebody else do it.
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