Arash Azizi
π€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
But it is basically true.
I mean, there are these messages being exchanged.
Now, the estimate of how close you are to a deal is just like when you put an offer on a house, you know.
you think it's very close.
So it's a bit of what you feel about it, right?
So that's a bit subjective.
But the offers are serious, the negotiations are serious, and the contours are pretty much the same, like what Axis reported.
The contours have always been quite the same.
Suspension of enrichment, Iran getting some sanctions relief, war ending the straight opening.
So their leverage is what they've been able to do to the straight and to the global market.
Their leverage is that they think Trump is reluctant to return to the war and it considers it sort of unpopular war, which it is.
And their leverage is that
they can make energy infrastructure in the region unsafe.
They can sort of cause havoc there.
That's the kind of leverage that they see they have.
They can hold out a lot longer.
It depends on how we define holding out.
That, you know, Iranian economy is terribly hurt now.
More than 1 million jobs have been lost.
Things are terrible.