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Carson Block

πŸ‘€ Speaker
364 total appearances
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Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

Thank you.

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

Thanks for having me.

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

Let me just state that as background, I was a skeptic.

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

So until February of this year, I refused to refer to any of the models that are out there that we're using as AI.

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

They are large language models.

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

And so I said, okay, these things are not going to ever find the cure for cancer.

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

They are not that intelligent.

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

It's not artificial intelligence.

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

They're LLMs.

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

Now, the current generation of LLMs that was released in January, early February of this year changed my mind to some extent.

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

They're not going to independently develop the cure for cancer.

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

I mean, I used to term them the greatest search engines ever developed, and that effectively they are.

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

But their ability to synthesize that information and order that information, I mean, there's real labor savings to be had right now.

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

in certain areas of knowledge industries, I mean, such as investment.

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

I mean, I immediately began using Claude to run Monte Carlo simulations that I previously would have needed somebody who was pretty young, recently graduated from a top university who was strong in math to run.

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

The thing that's important

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

to really understanding or that changed my view as to what LLMs are going to do to the labor market is that this generation was coded and tested in large part by its predecessor generation.

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

It is coding and testing its successor generation.

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

So...

Merryn Talks Money
Carson Block: AI Could Trigger the Next Financial Crisis

You have a situation where the leading users of this generation of AI model, I mean, they're in the technology industry, they are able to supplant by using AI or displace multiple members of a team.

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