Carson Block

Now, vast majority of us are not that skilled yet with the current generation of model, but

we extrapolate that we're going to be hitting a point in the not too distant future in which we're going to see exponential improvement in the capabilities of these models because they're coding and testing their successors and so on and so forth.

then you're going to see a lot more capability you're going to see more comfort in understanding of how to use them i think it's entirely conceivable that within a few years three five two um you could see within the us roughly 15 of knowledge workers displaced from their jobs and

Unlike the GFC, it's not that you just need to grow your way out of this and reallocate human and financial capital.

Those jobs are gone and the number of chairs for humans is going to continue shrinking.

So that's where I come out on AI, LLMs, whatever you want to call them.

I mean, a number of these, yes, a number of these jobs will disappear.

I'm a former attorney.

I'm a professional litigant effectively now in my current, you know, current, you know, iteration of my career.

And I got to tell you.

Like at present, Claude can handle a lot of tasks that I pay attorneys for.

Now, we're all familiar with the hallucinations and makes up, you know, A versus B. I'm not saying you remove humans entirely.

But I mean, if I'm you know, when you go through discovery, you're paying some associate.

I mean, depending on the law firm.

You're paying some associates somewhere between, you know, for good law firm, junior associate, $500 an hour to $1,500 an hour to review email after email and text after text.

And they make mistakes.

Claude.

does it 100% better.

So now you have to ask, you have to query it in the right way.

But, you know, when you're talking about, I mean, financial service related litigation, most of our outside attorneys, especially junior associates, don't understand what we do anyway.