Commodore Steve Jermy

speaker

516 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Jul 2026 last heard 20 Jul

Commodore Steve Jermy’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.

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The Tucker Carlson Show · WAR UPDATE: Military Insider Gives Terrifying Prediction & Reveals How Unprepared America Truly Is · 20 Jul 2026 podcast

And yet, unfortunately, we've ignored them all, notwithstanding the warnings not only came from Russia, but from some of our very best strategic thinkers, from George Keenan back as far as 1996 and from John Mearsheimer in 2014.

But when you get to the start of the war, then it seemed to me as the war kicked off, and I have to say, I did not

see the war coming.

I was involved in the offshore energy sector.

But as I got to understand it, then the first thing that became obvious to me that this was not a war to, or a special military operation to invade Ukraine.

And the answer, the reason was simpler.

There weren't enough troops.

You know, Ukraine is about the size of half of Europe.

And you're not going to do that with 190,000 troops.

I cannot for a moment think that the Russian general staff advised Putin that they had enough troops to invade Ukraine.

This was always about the Donbass.

And I think the first phase of the strategy was really the use of military force to support a diplomatic engagement.

And indeed, that diplomatic engagement actually went quite well.

The Russians had opened negotiations with the Ukrainians after day one.

And as we arrived in March, they were ready to sign, as both sides were.

An agreement which would have stopped the war.

It was no NATO, neutrality for Ukraine, self-determination for the Donbass.

But that was ready to sign and it would have been signed, I'm almost certain, if it hadn't been for Boris Johnson.

no doubt with Biden's support, actually going across and persuading Zelensky to fight Russia and that he would have all the support he needed.

So that's phase one.

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