Commodore Steve Jermy
speaker
516 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Jul 2026
last heard 20 Jul
Commodore Steve Jermy’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.
Appearances
I think at phase two, when it becomes clear to Russia that they are
in a going to have to fight um and are likely to have to fight nato because of what they're hearing what you then see is uh what i would call militarist a withdrawal in contact so essentially what the russians were doing were recognizing that actually the kiev um attack and and the actions in the donbass uh were although diplomatic they would now need to withdraw to a line and what they did was they withdrew back to what's known as the sorry beckon line
which was a defensive line constructed by the general who was the expert in Russia in defensive lines.
And that from about September onwards, they then moved into phase three after the withdrawal, which is what I call attritional defence.
And what that essentially means was meeting their two objectives.
Their objectives were denazification and demilitarization, both of which were operational objectives.
And the strategic objective, though, Tucker, was clear.
It was to preserve Russia's security.
And what defensive attrition means is wearing down the men and materiel of the Ukrainian army.
And goodness me, we helped them a lot in that because we persuaded them to expand not one army, but two armies against that defensive line for not a single penetration.
So you get to late 2023.
And at that stage, I think what Russia does is they've
uh started to they uh as the war got going they started to mobilize and increase the forces they need the industrial capacity and so by late 2023 they're ready to move into phase three phase three was what i call offensive attrition not necessarily secure in territory but really
going on and starting to continue wearing down the men and material of the Ukrainian army.
Don't forget, the Ukrainian army had no air superiority, none of the things that you would want fighting an offensive or indeed a defensive war.
and moving slowly forward.
I think as well, they were probably starting to clarify what it would be their ultimate objectives.
And I remember saying, I think to Danny Davis about a year and a half ago, I thought their minimalist objectives would be to secure the Donbass and the four Eastern Oblasts
And their maximum objectives might be to go further, might be to go to secure the whole of Novorossiya, which is the Odessa, and the next four oblasts to the west.
I wasn't sure which way they would go, but I've heard Putin say quite recently that actually he's talking about Novorossiya.
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