Dave Wasserman

speaker
90 appearances 2 recordings 2 series first heard Apr 2025 last heard 10 Jun

Dave Wasserman’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Jun 2026 with 1.

Appearances

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Yeah, that's a great point. It's it's gotten a lot closer. And I think the fracture in the Republican Party in Kansas has been more severe than in other states. There's something about the culture there that, you know, they've they've just been at war with each other for years in a way that has made its elevated Democrats.
I totally agree with you. And the other component that makes Kansas different from a Texas, those states don't have Hispanic components that are moving towards Trump in a sizable way.
But as a part of the electorate, you know, that's a state where a lot of the Hispanic population is not voting. So, yeah, but fascinating, you know, when you think of where Democrats opportunities will lie in the future and play out the 2030 census, where, you know, if the current projections are accurate and.
Florida and Texas each gain four seats and Idaho gains a seat and New York loses three and California loses four. That's the equivalent of Massachusetts flipping from blue to red.
I think there are plenty of ways to make those Republican seats, especially given the trend line in South Texas and South Florida. Because keep in mind, a lot of the districts that Republicans drew in both states to be solidly Democratic seats, they're looking less solid. Look at Look at the presidential margin in Jared Moskowitz's district or Debbie Wasserman Schultz or Lois Frankel's seats.
Yeah, and Broward is now kind of a blue island.
Democrats, as you know, are now a six or seven county party in Florida.
If enough Hispanic voters are moving Republicans way by that point.
There's no doubt. And yet there's been a vacuum on the Republican side of political talent. Who is really stepping up in California who can compete with the Schwarzenegger phenomenon? No one, right? And Kathy Hochul was very vulnerable in 2022. And yet Lee Zeldin was not the right Republican to beat her. I think had Republicans nominated...
A decade ago there was a congressman from the Hudson Valley, Chris Gibson, who had a military background, was very bipartisan, absolutely could have broken through in that kind of climate. I think a Mike Lawler would be much more formidable in that scenario.
Yeah, they should be very concerned. And there's every reason for these Republicans to take a good look at a gubernatorial race.
Oh yeah, and I expect Democrats to gain seats in the House of Delegates. The map that was imposed was a court special master drawn map that does have a fair number of competitive districts. And right now it's 51-49 in favor of Democrats. You know, I would expect a few seats in places like
suburbs of richmond or virginia beach or or you know the outskirts of northern virginia to flip in this environment where democrats are just super charged on turnout i might get in trouble um with with work and saying this but right now i don't view the virginia gubernatorial race as particularly competitive so i don't either and i you're right it's sort of one of those things you're like should i be saying this out loud this early but it's like
Well, it could be even more of a beat down. Well, first of all, Virginia voted for Harris by five points. So that's a starting point, right?
You know, but on top of the typical... die Turnout-Dynamik von Trump-Votern, die viel mehr wegfallen. Du hast all diese federalen Arbeitsplätze-Issuen und du hast einen sehr talentierten Kommunikator in Spanberger, der, übrigens, in die rurale, zentrale Teil des Staates und der ag-Gemeinschaft, beziehungsweise Tomorrow I'm going to be speaking to the Virginia Cattlemen Association.
Yeah, I'm going to be speaking to the Virginia Cattlemen Association. Their leadership... They think very highly of Spanberger. And they're going to be pragmatic, right? Right. But yeah, she's done the work to build those coalitions and Sears is not going to be in a position to replicate what Glenn Youngkin spent
in 2021 oder wie er seine Botschaft herausbekommen konnte in einem Zeitpunkt, in dem die Verteidiger den Puls der Inflation fühlten. Und das war ein frischer und salienter Problem und die Kaffee-Taxe und all das. Jetzt sind die Schuhe auf dem anderen Fuß.
It's so true. And In New Jersey ist die Politik ganz anders. Ich habe einen schwierigen Zeitraum, den Kopf um mich herum zu wenden. Und du bist lokal. Ich bin da, weil ich in einem maschinell dominierten Staat geboren bin. Und dann haben sie in den letzten paar Jahren die Stadtlinie entfernt.
And it used to be that that the machine dictated which candidates in the primary were out in Siberia, where you'd never find them.
And so you wouldn't have ended up with Senator Andy Kim. No chance. I was a kid growing up there. Right. Right. And now. You know, look at Mikey Sherrill and Josh Gottheimer and you've got two suburban Democrats who have a lot of money. They're a lot closer to where the donor and power base has moved in the Democratic Party. And they're in a position to kind of overpower these
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