Dave Wasserman
speaker
90 appearances
2 recordings
2 series
first heard Apr 2025
last heard 10 Jun
Dave Wasserman’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Jun 2026 with 1.
Appearances
So now I think there's much more of a... And look, Democrats, We're only able to draw about a third of the number of seats that Republicans did. But the complaining has become much more bipartisan.
Ehrlich? Das ist ehrlich. Und gleichzeitig, schau dir die Grenzen an, die einige von diesen Republikanern im Jahr 2024 gewonnen haben, in diesen Rennen. Schau, die Demokraten haben die Republikaner im letzten Jahr im Haus-Fundraising geklappert, was eine große Grundlage dafür ist, warum sie Kamala Harris übergebracht haben.
Viele ihrer Anwesenden konnten sich viel breiter verhandeln als Kamala Harris. Aber schau dir die Grenzen an, die die Republikaner gewonnen haben. Es waren etwa 7300 Voten, wenn du diese paar entscheidenden Rennen aufzählst. Und du estimierst die Veränderungen in beidem, wo Trumps Basis nicht wirklich für Republikaner außer Trump aufsteht, und die Tatsache, dass...
Independence could sour on him on the economy. You could end up seeing a pretty large gain and large by today's standards. You know, you're not going to see. That's in the 20s, right? You're not going to see 40 seats. Could it be in the 20s? Yes, it could be in the 20s. Because these seats held by Scott Perry and Derek Van Orden and Gabe Evans, Jen Kiggins.
Yeah, this is a classic kind of midterm backlash environment that we're beginning to see emerge.
In some ways we're back to 2017 and in some ways we're not.
You know, the Florida specials occurred roughly around the same time of the cycle when we had a result in Wichita, Kansas in 2017. Remember the Pompeo special. Yeah, the Pompeo seat and Republicans underperformed by like 20 points there. And By the same measure, you know, we're kind of in that realm of specials right now.
And it was probably smart of Trump to pull the Stefanik nomination, because that's a district, I think, that behaves more, it's got more give to it. It's too close to Albany.
Ja, und das war tatsächlich die erste besondere Aktion, die ich in Person beobachten musste, als Bill Owens Didi Skozafala. In manchen Fällen ist es das Gleiche. Ich denke, was anders ist, ist, dass es ein bisschen länger gedauert hat, diesen Zyklus für die Demokraten, um sich wieder zu engagieren. Es gab ein paar Monate, in denen es so viel Demoralisierung und Verlust gab, dass...
Während es im Jahr 2016 und 2017 sofort war. Es gab den Frauenmarsch und so weiter. Jetzt denke ich, dass die Demokraten wirklich gehypt sind. Sie sind wieder im Spiel. Und je nachdem, wie Sie ein Ergebnis sehen, wie in Wisconsin, wo ein Staats-Supreme-Kurz-Kandidat im April 78 Prozent des demokratischen Votums aus dem vergangenen Sommer bekommen hat und die Republikaner nur 63 Prozent bekommen.
Das erzählt Ihnen darüber, wie die Turnout-Dynamiken von dem, was sie in der Obama-Ära waren, geändert wurden.
It's a great question. And you're right. I do think there was a kind of combination of a federal and military workforce element in Florida One. And also keep in mind, there are a lot of second homes that have become primary homes along that stretch of coast.
Yeah, and there are parts of the country that are analogous.
Yeah, definitely. But the kind of the dark horse districts that I think about are places like Colorado Springs, where it's been Republican forever.
But it's these it's these midsize districts. outdoorsy metros that are attracting left-leaning professionals that want a lower cost of living than the big cities. So it's Asheville, it's Colorado Springs. It's, you know, I look at Kevin Kiley's district in Northern California, which has some of the Tahoe region and some of the Sacramento suburbs. And that hasn't really been in play recently.
I was surprised that the D-Trip didn't have it on its list. But those are the kinds of seats... Back at this point in 2017, for example, even though Dave Brat had beaten Eric Cantor, that seat was not really on people's radars. But the Richmond suburbs were moving and Democrats got a great candidate in Abigail Spanberger. And by the end of the cycle, it was a toss-up.
I think we're going to see similar dynamics now. And keep in mind that Democrats are a lot closer to the majority today than they were in 2017.
It could be. I wouldn't be surprised if Zach Nunn took a serious look at it. I would be a little bit more surprised if Marionette Miller-Meeks, who has kind of struggled to lock down her district. I don't know if she has that statewide appeal. But Hinson might. Hinson might. Sure, sure. She's looking at it, too. Yeah. And, you know, Iowa, I think, is a perfect barometer for 26, because...
If there is a place where tariffs should cost Republicans locally, it's their farm states.
Yeah, and yet Democrats have been trying to make a case that that would happen there for years. And they've got... Nebraska got uncomfortably close for Deb Fischer.
Showing 41–60 of 90 · page 3 of 5
← Previous
Next →