Dean W. Ball
speaker
545 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Nov 2024
last heard Nov 2024
Dean W. Ball’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Appearances
The sort of company of agents, the bureaucracy thing, will start to become real as we get into the late 2020s.
And in a certain sense, I just I don't have any interest in whether or not that's AGI.
Exactly.
Because I think you could have a philosophical conversation about how that's not at all AGI, depending on what your definition of AGI is.
But it is
going to be super intelligent in ways that are palpably different from anything we have encountered before.
And so that's basically where where I am right now.
And I certainly might update, you know, negatively on that if I see something that makes me think there's gonna be more roadblocks.
But right now, as I see it
This is primarily an engineering problem.
The only thing left is, okay, there's the long horizon tasks, you know.
Like us humans, will they get stuck in the mud and spin their wheels on stupid stuff and not really know what to do, like how to act in the world, just like us.
I think the way that will get resolved and at least the meaningful part is like you've the reason OpenAI and these other companies partnering with organizations like, you know, the this the national labs.
and Moderna and sort of science companies, is that I'm sure they are having their scientists using these things as apprentices, as grad students.
And they're modeling the long horizon tasks.
Right?
People are using them for long horizon tasks and they're learning to model what that actually is.
And like a grad student,
They will learn.
I just think all the pieces are there.
Showing 161–180 of 545 · page 9 of 28
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