Dwarkesh

speaker

1,722 appearances 5 recordings 1 series first heard Apr 2025 last heard 25 Nov

Dwarkesh’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 2 in all, peaking in Nov 2025 with 1.

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Dwarkesh Podcast · Sarah Paine — How Russia sabotaged China's rise · 31 Oct 2025 podcast

And so then the question is, will they attain these things through war or through trade?

And it just seems very improbable to me that, you know, China's got a lot of money.

It can just pay for Russian oil.

It can just pay for water.

Why would it invade a nuclear-armed nation?

I guess, does that look like the bromance ending, right?

So North Korea has been for decades in a very desperate position.

That's quite a bromance, right?

You know, there's no risk of North Korea and China going to a war.

I mean, North Korea relies heavily on China.

It's not draining China in any way.

In 1931, when Japan attacks Manchuria, Japan commandeers the Chinese Eastern Railway, which the Treaty of Portsmouth in 1905 said that it was supposed to be under Russia's purview.

And the people in the Politburo are telling Stalin, look, we've got to be aggressive against this.

And Stalin says, look, I don't want to raise tensions against another great power.

Let's just let this slide.

Let's keep tensions low.

And this is actually quite similar to what happens with splitting up Poland in 1939 and then Barbarossa, where in both theaters, he makes this calculation that I'm going to let certain things slide so that I don't have to face off against this great powers on my border.

I don't want to go to war with them.

In the case of Japan, it works because Japan decides to attack China and not Russia.

In the case of, obviously, Germany, it doesn't work.

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