Ian Bremmer

You can have sanctions suspended again off of Iran and then a whole bunch of the oil is actually getting out.

And then the Europeans may send some destroyers and other ships to help

insure the navigation and the insurance comes back online and the ships become crude and then prices come down again.

And the US economy has taken comparatively less of a hit than most of the other economies in the world.

Now, is this embarrassing for Trump because you still have the same Iranian regime in place?

Well, yes, but I don't see any strategy to remove the Iranian regime at this point.

It's not like Trump is still talking about rescuing the Iranian people.

The Iranians would still have their nuclear capabilities, but Trump has said now on a few occasions that if they try to get those at those nuclear capabilities, we've got satellites on them.

We can blow them up at that point.

So again, there aren't,

You and I looking at this, Scott, it should be plainly obvious to everyone, irrespective of what Trump admits to, that there's no win here for the Americans.

So the question is, how are you going to reduce your losses in ways that allow everyone to move forward?

And I do think the best, the least worst scenario at this point is to conclude the war and open the strait as soon as humanly possible.

And I would have argued that six weeks ago easily, it would have been much better than now.

I mean, I don't see what's been gained in the last six weeks other than far, far more economic damage.

For the last three months, Ukraine has taken back a small amount of territory.

And that is because the drone capabilities and the unmanned ground vehicle capabilities are increasingly...

changing um the advantage on the front line if not in favor of ukraine at least no longer in favor of the more highly manned russia russia benefits from the war they're selling a lot more oil gas fertilizer commodities at higher prices some sanctions have been suspended by the u.s

Furthermore, the Ukrainians are having a harder time getting access to some of the weapons that the Europeans want to buy for them because they are in short supply and necessary now for the Iran war, American weapons.

So there is a tactical advantage to the Russians that come from the Iran war.