Joshua Achiam

speaker
232 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Aug 2026 last heard 4 Aug

Joshua Achiam’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months
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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Aug 2026 with 1.

Appearances

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Like if you want to do something in quantum chemistry with a sufficiently large system and you want to simulate it very faithfully, then that's very hard.
And maybe the AI, even if it's
turning through as many simulated experiments as it can, might not be able to design optimal quantum chemistry systems yet.
Yeah, yeah, there might be like some limits here.
But we'll probably see a lot of fields get accelerated, and I wouldn't be terribly surprised if AI substrates were one of the ones that get accelerated.
what feels like a long path to many orders of magnitude may just be shorter because the AI will find shortcuts in that path.
Maybe.
Yeah, we live in a world where nothing ever happens is a meme for a good reason.
And there are a lot of reasons to expect that the near term probably will not look like a cyber apocalypse.
My guess is that the worst things that attackers could plausibly do would require so many model calls and so much compute from closed source things or operating in big clouds where there's some traceability and monitorability for what the compute is being purposed towards that...
it'll be, you know, pretty straightforwardly ruled out by broad protection measures in most places.
So most attackers would not be able to leverage large amounts of compute for running attacks with these models and wouldn't be able to get the model to execute an attack at all because of the safeguards that people will put in place.
So we probably won't see like a cyber apocalypse tomorrow.
That said, I am worried about on the state actor side of things, where there will be state actors who are very determined to figure out the maximal extent to which they can use these capabilities.
And here's where I get really nervous.
They might not obviously signal to people what they find.
It might be very quiet that they identify a large number of zero days that can be saved up for a rainy day.
And we currently are at a moment in the world where things feel very metastable.
I continue to be worried about the conflict in Ukraine and Russia.
I continue to be worried about the set of conflicts in the Middle East and the possibility that China will at some point invade Taiwan feels very, very salient.
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