Lance Brozdowski
speaker
795 appearances
3 recordings
1 series
first heard Jun 2025
last heard 5 Aug
Lance Brozdowski’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Aug 2026 with 1.
Appearances
So thinking about before he gets to two strikes, he's able to grab a lot of called strikes with the four-seam fastball, which he wasn't doing in prior seasons.
So you saw some uptick from that perspective.
But if you think about his two-strike approach, which is what I mentioned in that YouTube video, he's still throwing like the same number of
forcing fastballs in those counts.
And you can see like some of the breaking balls here and splitters are just bound to get more with, you could see this just from a, like, like the four-seamers he was throwing in two strike spots, the lefties and righties were both around, let's say like 20% or so prior seasons.
And I think how most teams would approach that from a modeling standpoint would have that well below that maybe, maybe more than half it.
So let's say like five to 10% of that pitch, pure elevation.
And when he does throw it, it has to be elevated.
It's not as much in the zone.
as it was, especially like righties.
He would just throw it kind of down away and try to grab called strikes.
So it's a very subtle, subtle, granular micro thing that I'm looking at, but I love looking at that stuff because I do think it influences projections.
I do think there's a path to him just purely striking out more batters because he's not using as many four seamers because he's able to pitch into those deeper counts with weapons that are just going to miss more bats.
Yeah, I think he's, I think he's a great pitcher.
Like he's, he's probably like projected as like a top 30, 40 pitcher in baseball heading in the next season.
And especially down the stretch here as he debuts and we get two months of him, I'm fascinated to see how his usage trend, because projections often look back at prior years
And if projections are looking back at this season in particular, and he materially changes his usage, I would argue that the majority of this season, especially earlier with the Angels, where he was throwing a bunch of four-seamers, if the Blue Jays don't do that, then you have a bit of an advantage on like, okay, he's projected for three-war, but I actually think he could get to three-and-a-half-four purely because how projections are looking at him
is not through a lens that he will use from a mixed standpoint so that's kind of how i view that i'm always trying to like look at okay what are projections maybe not capturing and uh i anticipate that being something with soriano next year where i really like him because of what we're talking about here just fewer forcing fastballs more ability to miss bats and i hope the blue jays take advantage of that
Yeah, it's kind of interesting.
Brown and Soriano are good contrasts because Brown throws more of like a classic kind of runner two seam fastball, which has a lot of vertical breaks and almost kind of mimes his foreseam shape.
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