Liam Donovan

I don't think it's gone.

You know, I think there hasn't been

you know, too much polling on this.

And we're certainly not into the end game.

But that's the obvious first pickup.

If you're Democrats, that's the one that has to fall.

I think it gets interesting after that because there is a significant drop off.

There's only one state on this map that does not match the the the lean of the state at the presidential level.

And that's Maine with Susan Collins.

She is a survivor survivor.

I think she confounded expectations in 2020 with Donald Trump on the ballot when she was given no chance of winning.

Way behind in the polls.

Way behind in the polls.

That is the one where...

I think irrespective of who Democrats had put up there, there's just this unknowable binary.

Either Maine is still the kind of state that rewards independent known quantities like Susan Collins, or it's not, and we just don't know.

Six years later, has that changed?

I do think they've done her a favor at some level in...

You can more obviously see the permission structure for why would a Harris voting Democrat vote for Republican for Senate?

Well, because Graham Platner is a different kind of Democrat.