Mark Halperin

It's a red state now.

There aren't a lot of Democrats getting elected in Ohio statewide.

And he's running against a super weak candidate.

John Husted was lieutenant governor.

He's now the appointed senator.

that after J.D.

Vance got elected vice president, the seat was open, the governor put him in.

He's not a great candidate.

He's not inspiring, not all that well-known, not a great fundraiser so far.

So naturally, Democrats for an open race with a strong candidate have a chance, but it's still a red state.

And we'll see how the governor's race impacts that.

The Democrats are actually doing better in the governor's race than some thought they would.

So that helps Brown.

I don't know about this one.

I want to see more how Democrats frame the race.

I want to see how the Republicans frame Brown.

Brown, again, popular with the Democratic base, but has a lot of liberal positions.

And I want to see how the Republican quasi incumbent, he's an actual incumbent, but never won before.

I want to see how he does.

At this point, I make the race a toss up based on my reporting.