Mary Daly
speaker
1,237 appearances
2 recordings
1 series
first heard Dec 2024
last heard Aug 2025
Mary Daly’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Appearances
Weakening is is a different signal.
So you take the entire dashboard of labor market indicators and you ask, what's happening to the ones that lead?
Initial claims for unemployment insurance are a leading indicator.
They predict where the labor market's heading.
They've been stable.
You unpack and you look at all the states, you get their initial claims data.
There's really no red flag states.
There's only two that are showing a lot of pickup.
DC
an area and Michigan.
Those are the two places.
Otherwise most of them look pretty stable.
you think about okay, what about
job finding rates, not just in aggregate, but by duration of unemployment.
When the labor market's really weakening, people push out in duration.
It's harder to find a job, but then you see those job finding rates really decline for out durations.
You're not seeing that.
So those are wage growth isn't stumbling.
You're just not seeing those things.
And so for me, it was about, okay, we're seeing a signal that this might be softening to weakening, but we don't know yet.
Showing 481–500 of 1,237 · page 25 of 62
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