Nate Silver

And that's not a cheap thing.

People still have their basis for AI based on these hallucinating models you had like a couple of years ago.

And I'm telling you, man, these things are pretty fucking smart, right?

They're smart in a way that they weren't even six months ago.

And I'm like, okay, well, I did a better job.

That happened to my accountant, right?

But like that's probably as good as my accountant or my lawyer on this type of thing, right?

Right, with some qualifications.

So one thing about the Middle East, people who are politically engaged and politically informed, they tend to care a lot more about the Middle East than like the average person, right?

If you take a list of like, what are the top 20 issues and ask like a swing voter,

Israel-Gaza was like number 18 or something, right?

However, it may be the single most important issue for like Democratic primary voters, for example, right?

Yeah, and you still have—so public opinion toward Israel has substantially worsened, right?

It's still pretty divided nationally, but maybe that divide now occurs kind of within the Democratic Party, and I think that's going to complicate the primaries for Democrats, but also for Republicans, right?

It's not—it shouldn't be lost on people that Israel is the United States' partner in this war on Iran, right?

And that's leading to weird coalitions, right?

I don't want to try to get into, like—

Nick Fuentes' head, right?

But if you have issues with Israel, then you're going to have more issues with the Iran war, which is supposed to be a MAGA thing.

And so, yeah.