Nate Silver

speaker

1,377 appearances 5 recordings 5 series first heard Feb 2025 last heard 29 Jun

Nate Silver’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 3 in all, peaking in Jun 2026 with 2.

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All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg · Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading & AOC Might Win It All in 2028 · 29 Jun 2026 podcast

But that traced with the Democratic margin in presidential years very strongly, even though for many years Democrats had been the party against Democrats.

gerrymandering um it's a capital d democratic state it's not an idiosyncratic blue state like maine or something and like so like to expect even a very talented republican like spencer pratt to win the mayorship i mean even in new york we have a bit more heterodoxy historically we've had a

you know, socialist mayor.

We've had Michael Bloomberg and Rudy Giuliani in recent years, too.

California is not that way.

It's much more of a machine state.

I think the California vote count is an accurate tally of the votes that were cast.

I mean, yeah, look.

I think there is propaganda around this.

I also think that like,

mail-in voting provides some verification challenges in different ways uh you know i don't inherently see anything that wrong with a system where you go to a physical place to vote and you sign um you sign your voter log and and whether you show id or not and then if you have like a disability or you're really in bad straights you're traveling in albania or something then you can that makes sense but i want to ask

So the theory used to be that Democrats benefit from higher turnout by kind of any means at all.

And that was an era when Democrats tended to dominate among non-collegiate voters, whereas Republicans were like the country club, Kiwanis club, people who show up on the first day of voting.

That has shifted.

Look where Democrats have really, really overperformed.

It's in special elections.

It's in midterms as opposed to high turnout races like like when Trump's been on the ballot.

And so, like, I think if Trump

I think voter ID would be pretty reasonable.

I'm not against voter ID.

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