Nate Silver

I mean, look, I'm a bit of a view that like America had like a lot of wind in its back from being like the global reserve currency and the global superpower that people tend to like, tend to defer to.

And our economy has grown at 2% per year instead of like 1% per year, like in France or something.

I'm like, that has cumulative effects.

My question is like, does everything in American politics get worse if we no longer have that wind in our back because we fucked it up, right?

We fucked up our reputation internationally.

We have fucked up confidence in the U.S.

dollar, right?

Again, I'm talking – dating myself to like this era where I came of political age, right?

And that was when America had seemed to win and we didn't have the Soviet Union anymore, right?

And now I don't know about that anymore, right?

But in terms of like the profound sense of like –

anxiety, I don't know how that affects the national psyche.

Nate, is there anything that you look across the landscape and you say, this makes me feel good?

I'll point to two good things, right?

One is that voter turnout used to really lag in America, right?

And it's been higher lately, right?

So there is political participation.

Two is that for all the problems I expect AI to cause, there is some early evidence that it actually pushes people more toward expert opinion as compared with social media.

Yeah, Claude and ChatGPT and Gemini hallucinate.

People accuse them of being biased in different ways.