Nate Swanson
speaker
685 appearances
5 recordings
1 series
first heard Apr 2026
last heard 10 Sep
Nate Swanson’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 5 in all, peaking in Apr 2026 with 3.
Appearances
And I think, you know, he has a very, very small inner circle.
And I think they're all fairly confident this would be easy, which was a mistake.
Yes and no.
I mean, I thought Iran would lash out the Gulf and try to shut down the Strait.
I think what surprised me was really at the first outset is
that Iran was able to get their own exports out for really up until the last two weeks.
So for the first six weeks of the war, they basically kept traffic from the Gulf out, but their own exports of oil to China were still basically happening.
So to me, that was quite shocking and it was quite significant.
And I think also, the Strait has always been this theoretical threat that the US and others have been worried about, but it was never a practical reality.
And Iran made it a reality
You know, almost instantly in the first, you know, 24 to 48 hours.
And I think it's really proven to be in many ways much more effective than any of the other means of deterrence.
It's quite a bit more effective than the proxies.
It's quite a bit more effective than their nuclear program and really even their missile program to some extent.
So, I mean, it's really been a...
you know, a huge boon for Iran to be able to utilize this power, this new power in ways that are really quite unforeseen and quite effective.
So things can have long lasting implications, unfortunately.
Yeah, I think there are certainly quite a few within the Iranian administration who believe they're winning the war.
And I think there's definitely some merit to it, right?
I mean, it's different than the US or a Western definition of winning, right?
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