Raina McIntyre

speaker

581 appearances 8 recordings 1 series first heard Feb 2020 last heard Feb 2021

Raina McIntyre’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Health Report · Coronavirus — how bad is it and how do we stop it? · 3 Feb 2020 podcast

Yes. matched

Not this coronavirus, but a coronavirus. matched

Probably, yeah. matched

Influenza is actually around two. matched

Oh matched

The best estimate so far is two point two for the R zero of this virus. matched

There's been a range of modellers estimating the R zero and some of the estimates are as high as six, some are lower than two, but the only estimate of R zero that came from data that included the date of symptom onset suggests it's two point two. matched

So that's the estimate I'd put the most money on. matched

There was an outbreak in Germany that shows that it was transmitted likely in the incubation period and quite rapidly. matched

In that outbreak, a lady from Wuhan came to Germany to run a workshop. matched

She infected a man who attended that workshop, but she didn't have symptoms at the time. matched

She got sick on the plane flying back to China. matched

But the guy that she infected then infected somebody else within. matched

A day of his being exposed. matched

Yes, because if something is transmitted asymptomatically, then it becomes much harder to control. matched

Yes, there are lots of public health measures that can control even an epidemic where there's asymptomatic transmission. matched

First is identifying cases really rapidly, so having good surveillance and then isolating them so they can't infect others, tracking all their contacts straight away and monitoring the contacts for development of symptoms. matched

And if they develop symptoms, isolating them. matched

And then the general infection control measures like hand washing. matched

And if you're a healthcare worker, personal protective equipment. matched

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