Raina McIntyre

speaker

581 appearances 8 recordings 1 series first heard Feb 2020 last heard Feb 2021

Raina McIntyre’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Health Report · Coronavirus — how bad is it and how do we stop it? · 3 Feb 2020 podcast

It's unlikely to have been through swallowing. matched

What from what we know about the other coronaviruses, it's probably a mixed mode of transmission. matched

Probably there's contact transmission where you touch a contaminated s surface and then you contaminate your own face, your mouth, your nose or your eyes with your hand when you're rubbing your face. matched

Secondly by large respiratory droplets and thirdly by the airborne route. matched

It's certainly possible. matched

We've been pretty vigilant in terms of the surveillance and screening, but it's possible. matched

It's possible, although unlike SARS, we haven't seen large epidemics take off in other countries. matched

So in SARS we saw epidemics in Vietnam, in Toronto, in Singapore, in Hong Kong, particularly hospital outbreaks. matched

We haven't seen that yet. matched

There's been a small outbreak in Germany. matched

So we really need to watch and see. matched

But certainly on the indication of the modeling studies, there could be more cases than we've detected. matched

However, that was speculated with MERS coronavirus as well. matched

But when they did serology on people with serial surveys, tested everyone's blood, they didn't find that. matched

They actually found very low levels of sero positivity. matched

Seven. matched

Pretty high, yeah. matched

Well the fact that the cases are still increasing, I would only start to relax a little bit when I saw the cases starting to decrease. matched

And it's because case fatality rate is much higher than anything we've seen anytime recently that has the capability of spreading through the community. matched

And that would be a major impact on our health system if it did pan out that way. matched

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