Sally Auld
speaker
5,823 appearances
57 recordings
1 series
first heard Sep 2024
last heard 17 Aug
Sally Auld’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 28 in all, peaking in Aug 2026 with 3.
Appearances
The RBA aside from other central banks is our starting point, uh, you know, for all of this.
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And so we we came into the conflict with growth that was above trend, inflation that was too high and rising, and a labor market that uh was and remains tight.
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Um, and this will
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worry the RBA that it it leaves us exposed to, you know, what could be quite a broad and rapid dissemination of second order price impacts.
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Um and they will probably, I suspect this afternoon, want to get ahead of that.
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Um so it's gonna be it it'll be, you know, a difficult one to communicate because I don't think they are going to want to leave the market or anyone else for that matter with the impression that they're done um and there will be no more
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no more rate hikes.
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I think they're gonna wanna leave the market with still pricing in some chance that that more might happen.
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But at the same time, you know, they will acknowledge that they face two sided risk.
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So it's a tricky one, um, but we think at the end of the day, given our starting point,
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Given the unfavourable outlook for inflation, um, that the the sort of policy of least regret is to deliver another hike today.
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Yeah, that's right.
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So payrolls will be important as you said at the end of the week and the jolt starter will be interesting.
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Um a little bit sort of delayed.
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These are for the month of March.
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But generally speaking, you know, some of the partial indicators around the labour market have held in extraordinarily well in the last couple of weeks, so jobless claims being an important one.
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So I think uh you know this is why you saw some members of the FOMC start to feel a bit uncomfortable about uh you know the the risk bias that um the the FOMC statement was e expressing because
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you know, not only are they a little bit worried about inflation, but there might be signs that the labour market's actually holding in, you know, pretty well.
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Yeah, good morning, Phil.
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That's exactly right.
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Showing 1141–1160 of 5,823 · page 58 of 292
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