Samuel Charap
speaker
472 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Mar 2026
last heard 24 Mar
Samuel Charap’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Mar 2026 with 1.
Appearances
belligerents who are trying to end a war, right, like particularly one that's been protracted and been quite bloody.
In other words, that they both will suspect that the other side is just going to use the ceasefire period to rearm and potentially, you know, then refocus their efforts and reattack.
And by the way, I think Russia is convinced that Ukraine might do the same.
And so both sides, I think, are going to be preparing for that outcome.
But it is important from, I think, a Western perspective and a Ukrainian perspective to structure a negotiated outcome that leaves Ukraine in the best position to deter a potential future Russian attack.
And so there are multiple layers of this.
The first and most important piece is having a capable Ukrainian military.
I think the Ukrainians have come to terms with the reality that nobody is going to fight for them.
And therefore, helping the Ukrainians, assisting them to have essentially a defensively oriented, in other words, a military that is capable of holding territory and making any
gains for Russia to be incredibly painful.
Too painful, in fact, to initiate will be the first layer.
That does involve, of course, Western assistance, but first and foremost, it's a job for Ukrainians.
I think a second and important piece of that is external guarantees or commitments.
And here, I think it's less a question about, and as much of the European debate has been focused on this issue of boots on the ground,
I don't consider that a particularly credible option, nor do I think Russia would accept it, even if it were.
But I do think there are ways in which we can structure a sort of snapback arrangement.
In other words, that any benefits that Russia gets out of a ceasefire, be it sanctions relief, be it Ukraine's non-alignment,
be it limitations to Western assistance, say we wouldn't provide targeting data in peacetime that we would in wartime.
So a snapback, meaning that all of the benefits, Russia loses them all if it chooses to have a major violation of the ceasefire and attack Ukraine again.
So the snapback concept is actually from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, the Iranian nuclear deal, where there were sanctions that were relieved and that would be reimposed and that were, in fact, reimposed in the event of Iranian violation of it.
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