Samuel Charap

speaker

472 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Mar 2026 last heard 24 Mar

Samuel Charap’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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80,000 Hours Podcast · #240 – Samuel Charap on how a Ukraine ceasefire could accidentally set Europe up for a bigger war · 24 Mar 2026 podcast

And I think Ukraine, you know, and the EU are both committed to making that happen.

Well, I think that, you know, this conflict, generally speaking, you can think of as having three rings.

Essentially, there's the Russia-Ukraine piece.

There's the Russia-NATO piece, which I think is part of this dynamic.

Clearly, you know, given both the assistance and the breakdown in relations.

And then there's the broader strategic stability, mostly a Russia-U.S.,

ring, which has been directly affected by the conflict with Russian suspension of implementation of New START and the lack of a treaty to replace it, which I think is largely a function of the breakdown in relations that were caused by the war.

So I do think that trying to, in attempts to resolve it, we need to think about addressing all three rings, even if not immediately.

So what I could imagine...

Being important to embed in a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire or framework agreement is a commitment to start a process, a Russia-NATO negotiation process to ensure broader stability in the continent.

That is going to be a long-term commitment.

negotiation, not something that can be done in weeks or months, but nonetheless, that the sides would commit to begin it.

Because right now, there just isn't any discussion of that.

And I think we need to begin that.

It's going to be tough.

But having some forum through which the broader concerns that you mentioned in terms of European security can be addressed, I think would be important.

Yeah.

I mean, ultimately, strategic stability is about avoiding, again, inadvertent conflict, making crises less potentially escalatory, avoiding first use pressures in a crisis to use them or lose them concerns.

And misinterpretation, avoiding misinterpretation.

I mean, you know, under a new start, every, you know, test of an ICBM was notified.

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