Samuel Charap

speaker

472 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Mar 2026 last heard 24 Mar

Samuel Charap’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Mar 2026 with 1.

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80,000 Hours Podcast · #240 – Samuel Charap on how a Ukraine ceasefire could accidentally set Europe up for a bigger war · 24 Mar 2026 podcast

They've been focused on the nature of the post-war Ukrainian military, how they would be postured vis-a-vis Russia.

So I think those are all elements that Russia's going to have on the table.

I mean, the Ukrainians have been insistent on getting some security assurances, essentially, from Western countries that if this were to happen again, that they would have...

some, you know, that they wouldn't be on their own.

So basically, security guarantees, Ukraine status, and the nature of both sides' post-war military posture.

I think those security issues are going to be front and center.

There are other secondary ones.

I mean, Russia might raise the question about the...

section of the Orthodox Church that previously was part of the Moscow patriarchy in Ukraine, complicated story, or the nature of the Russian language and what its status in Ukraine.

But I think the security issues ultimately are the ones that are going to be front and center.

Then there are also questions about ceasefire modalities.

This is a huge line of contact by global standards.

almost over 1,000 kilometers, and that is extremely difficult to monitor and to have effective disengagement of forces that are quite close.

So, you know, and one could imagine also the importance of having thinned out zones.

So like, you know, major cities, not an artillery range and so on.

One of the big issues that's on the table now is territory and specifically Russia's demand for the part of the Donetsk region, essentially, that it doesn't control.

Ukraine refers to as its fortress belt.

I still consider the territory issue, despite all the ink it's getting, as a secondary one that could be potentially more easily resolved if the bigger picture security issues were addressed.

That said, that territorial question is going to be, I think, based on what we've seen from the negotiations so far, a really important one to resolve.

And actually, both sides have indicated some degree of flexibility.

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