Samuel Charap

speaker

472 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Mar 2026 last heard 24 Mar

Samuel Charap’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Mar 2026 with 1.

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80,000 Hours Podcast · #240 – Samuel Charap on how a Ukraine ceasefire could accidentally set Europe up for a bigger war · 24 Mar 2026 podcast

before the war, and now it's, you know, almost doubled.

And the German military, which, you know, was previously sort of something of a laughingstock, is now spending a lot of money with the Chancellor saying, we want, you know, the German, the Bundeswehr to be the most powerful military in Europe, and that not to be controversial also anymore.

So,

I do think that Russia's position geopolitically and particularly in Europe has been seriously set back, regardless of where the line is drawn.

And I think that was clear from pretty early on, that this had been a huge blunder.

So I think that we can't rule that possibility out, right?

But we need to test the proposition that there might be some mutually acceptable accommodation that can be reached and that the security motives, which I think

You know, even those who would point to imperialist motives as being the more significant ones can't deny that they're there, right?

That appealing to those can be compelling enough to overcome any of the sort of lingering imperialist drive.

Now, I should say that I don't think that Putin is going to be happy about the existence of an independent Ukraine regardless.

The question is, like, what he can accept in order to end the fighting and the bombardment of Ukraine, right?

And so this is not going to be his ideal outcome.

He's still going to be contemptuous of Ukraine and Ukrainians.

I think the question is, is there something that basically we can get to an end of this conflict and see some degree of stability on the ground?

So maybe we start with the elements and then get to the impediments.

So I do think that...

The question about Ukraine's status, as you mentioned, is going to be a big piece of this and how the reality of Ukraine's non-alignment would be codified.

Russia is going to be and has been quite focused on the nature of Ukraine's post-war security relationship with the West more broadly.

In other words, how much...

and what kind of weapons Western countries will be supplying Ukraine in the post-war period.

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