Simon Rosenberg
speaker
360 appearances
2 recordings
1 series
first heard Oct 2024
last heard Oct 2024
Simon Rosenberg’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Appearances
And what Tom reminded us is that part of the reason we got the election right in 2022 is we were looking at these indicators of intensity, performance in special elections.
That's continued to be good for us, right?
The registration numbers, good for us.
Uh, fundraising, good for us.
Now let's look at the early vote.
That was sort of the thing that sealed it for us in 2022, that we were going to do better than what people thought.
And the early vote has been harder.
To read this time because A, some of the states have changed their laws, not everybody's voting in the same way.
Pennsylvania doesn't have early in-person voting.
So it's very hard to create some kind of a unified theory of what's happening in the early vote because the states are operating very differently.
However, I do think there are some indications in the last couple days.
that in the early days of the early vote in some of these big states like Georgia, North Carolina, and Nevada, there was sort of a surge of Republicans into the electorate that they've not been able to maintain over time.
And that the elect in many of these states are gradually increasingly becoming bluer, which was consistent with our all our theory of the case, which is that we were going to be able to close stronger in these final few weeks.
We had more ads on the air.
We had more volunteers reaching voters.
We have a far more energetic campaign with a far more favorable and better liked candidate.
Every time Trump, you
know, I was on a call with a I was on a presentation with a Republican pollster who said that they now believe that Trump's numbers go up when he disappears and they go down when he starts reappearing.
And so they don't in this time when we don't have a final debate.
Which is usually the thing that sort of galvanizes people to go well get, you know, to vote and to check in on the election.
Showing 21–40 of 360 · page 2 of 18
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