Stephen Clermont
speaker
72 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Aug 2024
last heard Aug 2024
Stephen Clermont’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Yeah.
I mean, it's like you said, it's Kamala has moved into a lead in most of these swing states.
And they did a round of polls when Joe Biden was the presumptive nominee and he was trailing in all those states.
The thing I find most interesting and it's what I try to counsel a lot of people against is.
is when you're looking at a poll and comparing them, it's not so much who's leading and who's not leading.
It's where each candidate stands, particularly relative to 50%.
And it's interesting in these polls and the New York Times polls that came out this weekend that showed Kamala leading 50 to 46 in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan.
Donald Trump's number has stayed pretty much the same for this entire campaign.
He's been at the...
I mean, he got 46% of the vote in 2016.
He got 47 in 2020, and he's been at 46, 47, 48% consistently in all these polls.
And even when the shift happens, um, Biden was getting in the low forties.
Kamala is now getting in the high forties and breaking fifties in some of these polls.
And it just sort of like the underperformance of Biden and was a real challenge, um,
It's been a challenge for the past couple of years in all the polling that I've seen.
And it's just sort of naturally the people that were undecided towards Biden or considering third parties or considering not voting have just gone to Kamala.
And we're sort of we're seeing the race with a similar contour as it was in 2020.
And it's kind of what I think we were all expecting about a year ago heading into the rematch.
I think we're showing the same thing.
Yeah, that is consistent with what we are seeing.
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