Tapas Strickland

speaker
3,313 appearances 30 recordings 1 series first heard Sep 2024 last heard Aug 2025

Tapas Strickland’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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There's also heaps of Fed speak there, but uh really hard to see that really move markets, especially given that we've just had the Fed minutes as well. matched
Probably the biggest market development overnight is that continued sell-off in the longer end of the yield curve. matched
And when you look over a 24-hour period, the US ten year yield is up around 10 basis points, currently at around 4.59%. matched
And uh around five to seven basis points of that 10 basis point move that we've seen over the past 24 hours really came after that relatively soft $16 billion matched
twenty year auction there. matched
So uh the auction did did tail. matched
Uh so it does suggest some pretty soft demand metrics there. matched
And that investors out there uh are requiring more more compensation um to to part with with their money to invest in US government debt. matched
And that whole uh sell America trade, uh the dichotomy between uh rising US yields and a falling US matched
Dollar has reasserted itself again. matched
And in that environment, you've also seen gold higher, you've seen Bitcoin higher, and you've seen US equities down. matched
So you could say there's a little bit more angst about the US fiscal position. matched
There's been no real data flow to really drive any of these moves. matched
So I think it's more around the longer term thematic about longer term bond yields, rising fiscal deficits right around the matched
But particularly in the US as uh the US House debates. matched
Yeah. matched
Well it seems it's exactly when it is matched
Oh, I think it should start to set off a few warning bells out there, particularly for r risk risk assets. matched
Uh and also in terms of what the US uh administration is trying to achieve, in terms of uh reining in the uh trade deficit, um uh trying to cut taxes at the same time, which is effectively uh blowing out the US fiscal position again. matched
I've seen some estimates out there that suggest the uh the deficit could first matched
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