Theo Jaffee

speaker
1,082 appearances 21 recordings 1 series first heard Apr 2026 last heard 4d ago

Theo Jaffee’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months
5 · Aug OctJan 26AprJulnow

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 21 in all, peaking in Aug 2026 with 5.

Appearances

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And it seems to me like the limits are just like absurdly high on this.
Like many orders of magnitude.
I think I talked to GBG 5.5 about this a while ago and it was like there are what 30, 40, 50 orders of magnitude of scaling before we get there.
And like the entire last decade of AI has been 10 orders of magnitude of effective compute scaling.
And so like we are just like
Not even at the beginning of scaling to that, I think.
Yeah, this is Wolfram's whole idea of computational irreducibility.
I believe that the blog post I was looking at was called The Ultimate Laptop, which I will find and send to you later.
Yeah, please do.
Yeah, gladly.
So on cyber, what does the immediate near-term future of cyber look like?
I can imagine going one of several different ways.
I can imagine...
cyber offenders, maybe they have, they figure out ways to jailbreak the top closed models and then open models will just not be good enough.
The UK AI Security Institute just today released their assessment of Kimmy K3's cyber capabilities and it was like substantially below Fable and Sol.
So you can imagine that world where the closed source frontier jailbroken models just like wreak havoc on the world.
You know, there's like these big nation state actors like North Korea has these organized cyber crime groups.
I can imagine another world where it kind of nets out to not much because people do have cyber defense or maybe there aren't enough motivated people who are willing to do this kind of harm.
It seems like you can imagine, you know, hacking was already a thing that was possible and there are many people and yet like major hacks up until recently just didn't happen that often.
I could also imagine many of these jailbreaks or zero days when they're found by nation states just first get exploited by low level hackers with, you know, similar cyber capabilities because they have similar models and they use it to like steal a bunch of Bitcoin or whatever.
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