Tom Bevan
speaker
1,284 appearances
10 recordings
1 series
first heard Oct 2025
last heard 31 Aug
Tom Bevan’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 10 in all, peaking in Aug 2026 with 4.
Appearances
Midterms are base elections.
You have to turn out your base first and foremost.
Yes, you want to win over independents, but first and foremost, you have to turn out your side.
And Republicans are struggling to do that right now.
A lot of people will tell pollsters they're independent, but they're really, they lean Democrat or they lean Republican.
The people who are truly independent that will vote independently are about 10%, sometimes a little bit lower, sometimes a little bit higher.
That is a small slice of the electorate.
But when you're talking about races that can be decided,
by a point or two they become hugely important and so to have independence so sour on and this is the other thing that is really a problem for republicans is that they control all the levers of government so
Whatever your problem is, if you are dissatisfied with anything about the current state of our politics, whether it's the economy or inflation or Iran or anything else, there's really only one party that you can hold responsible for that, and that's the Republican Party.
And that's why they are struggling in what is shaping up to be a very good Democratic year.
it's very easy to nationalize these races around donald trump and so you have senate candidates that in particular are running against donald trump even though their term is six years long donald trump will will not be president for at least two-thirds of their term and yet it is all about fighting him in this moment and that is what is motivating democrats to
And so, yes, they're nationalizing these elections all across the country around Donald Trump.
And that's why Republicans are doing their best to make this, A, as localized as possible.
And then, B, the Republicans' second strategy is to say, look, you may not like Donald Trump.
You may not like the Republican Party.
However, the alternative in a binary choice, which is the Democrats, they are worse.
And because they are radical, because they're socialists, because they are communists,
And that is having some effect, but certainly it's not as persuasive.
So that is another 80-20 issue that Republicans are on the 80 side of.
Showing 361–380 of 1,284 · page 19 of 65
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