Zvi Mowshowitz

speaker
128 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Nov 2024 last heard Nov 2024

Zvi Mowshowitz’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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In a situation where everyone's looking for these big mispricings, but then like you have these different waves, and then one of the things that you notice is the early movement on the prediction markets is often actually ahead of the financial market movements and things like currencies and things that are open.
And you can in fact make money for real if you are watching about this because the beta thing is real, right?
So like you go into election night, you say, okay, what is gonna be the Trump
Yeah, beta for
everything in the world, right?
Every currency exchange, every index that's still trading, whatever you can get.
And i if this was going on during market hours, it would be so much more fun.
So you could be a French multimillionaire.
Uh you could be a Scottish teen is the other traditional joke.
But the answer is, you know, all types of people all around the world are getting into it.
But yes, because it's polymarket, you see a difference between polymarket and say, you know, Calci or, you know, these other sources predict it that are allowing Americans in and that aren't crypto because there's absolutely a bias in who has easier access to polymarket, who wants to get involved in polymarket, who's eager to do that.
And that bias is favoring Trump this year.
Trump is much more for crypto.
You see these associations in various different ways.
So polymarket has been several points stronger for Trump than other similar prediction markets.
It's
And you could also, of course, argue that like, no, it's polymarket that's fine and then everyone else is biased.
And like, you know, who is really to say?
So
As a writer, I want people to read what I'm writing and I want them to think about it and pay attention to it and learn from it and I want to influence them.
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