24 hours from Tesla (and Alphabet)

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NAB Morning Call 15 min 2 speakers 8 chapters transcribed 18 days ago
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What are the key earnings and market themes to watch for Tesla, Alphabet, and GM this week?

Phil Dobbie 0:01
24 hours from Tesla. OK, I'm probably the only person listening right now who's ever even heard of Gene Pitney, so Google it. But Tesla and Alphabet earnings this time tomorrow are probably the biggest bits of news. But the General Motors earnings this week have shown the impact that tariffs are already having on industrials. We'll look at that today. And the RBA as well, their minutes. Where are they going? Well, it's not entirely clear what the destination is, it seems. It's Wednesday. It's the 23rd of June, 2025. It's the morning call from NAB. Good morning. Well, U.S. stocks are mixed today. The Nasdaq closed down 0.4%. The S&P up 0.1%. It was up more earlier and, in fact, hit another record high today. The Dow is up 0.4%.
Phil Dobbie 0:47
The Russell 2000, which took a hit earlier in the week, is up 0.8% at the end of this session. And in Europe, a 1% drop in the Eurostox 50. The DAX 1.1% lower. The US dollar down almost half a percent to 97.4 on the DXY. The euro is up half a percent. The Aussie up 0.4% to 65.5 US cents.

How are global currency markets moving ahead of the upcoming tech earnings?

Phil Dobbie 1:09
The pound is up just 0.2%. But the Swiss franc, 0.6% higher. The yen, half a percent higher. 10-year Treasury yields are down five basis points to 4.33%. Yields down two or three basis points in Canada and most of Europe, in fact. And Aussie 10-year yields were down two basis points yesterday to 4.3%. Now a couple of basis points higher on futures. And oil down 1.6% off WTI, 1.2% lower for Brent, which is below 68.40 a barrel now. And NAB's Tapa Strickland is with me this morning. So tech stocks down, as we've just seen, but almost everything else is in the green. So financials up 0.6% in the U.S. today because earnings generally have been very good. So we look at Coca-Cola, for example. They beat on revenue and earnings per share, the president's favorite drink.
Phil Dobbie 2:02
Philip Morris also beat. But General Motors, this is the interesting one, isn't it? They've taken a hit from tariffs. So they've been absorbing the costs of imported car parts and imported vehicles. But they've tried to absorb those costs. So basically, they've taken a big hit on income from all of this.
Tapas Strickland 2:20
Good morning, Phil. Yes, not a great degree of data or new news in the overnight session. But those earnings reports do provide some interesting snippets. And General Motors for me was probably the most interesting.

Why did General Motors’ stock drop sharply after its earnings report and new tariffs?

Tapas Strickland 2:34
Just looking at my screen, I think General Motors is down by about 8%. So obviously a negative reaction in terms of General Motors share price to the news that came out. And the key bit was that was that new tariffs on imported cars and auto parts took a $1.1 billion bite out of its bottom line. And so we have been asking, well, who does pay the tariff in the US? Is it the importer? Is it the consumer? Or is it the foreign country? And at least here, it seems like General Motors itself is eating some of the tariff costs there. And it's just worth noting General Motors imports roughly half the vehicles it sells in the US, including Chevrolets and Buicks that are manufactured in South Korea. So they noted in their earnings report that they were just waiting for greater clarity to emerge in terms of the trading landscape, especially regards to deals with Singapore before they make bigger moves.
Tapas Strickland 3:25
And they're expecting a bigger tariff hit there. So from an earnings perspective, it looks like tariffs are starting to impact the earnings outlook, at least for the industrial side of the economy. And then Coca-Cola, although it was an okay earnings report, when you broke it down in terms of what was driving it, you did see a sales gain of 5% in the second quarter, but that was primarily driven by price increases rather than volumes. And actually, you look at unit case volumes, and they were down 1% during the quarter there. So perhaps still a little bit of softness there, and also perhaps a little bit of suggestion there that there's a little bit of pricing pressure there if Coca-Cola was able to increase prices there.
Phil Dobbie 3:59
Yeah. Well, they are, of course, coming out with a new Coca-Cola with American sugar. They're going back to the old recipe, apparently.

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