This Is How Derivatives Trading Swallowed the Entire Market

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Odd Lots 53 min 9 speakers 4 chapters transcribed 1 month ago
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How did derivatives trading evolve from a niche hedge tool to a retail‑driven market?

Jason Kelly 0:00
Have you ever wondered how Jesse Cole took the Savannah bananas from this? We
Alex Rodriguez 0:04
had a six million dollar failure last year. We're gonna have bigger ones as we go. To this, we've got shareholders, investors I've reached out to us regularly, and the answer is always no. Or why L Duncan would say this about a Netflix sports broadcast.
Scarlett Fu 0:17
Sometimes we're gonna take really big swings and we're gonna freaking whiff.
Alex Rodriguez 0:20
Then the deal is the show for you. It's a Bloomberg podcast hosted by me, Alex Rodriguez. And me, Jason Kelly.
Jason Kelly 0:27
We talk to the biggest names in the world of sports and business, including NBA Hall of Famer Tracy McGrady, on one of his biggest blunders. I think I've created some magical. Mm-hmm. Well I struck out. And you'll even get some of my baseball hot takes. I've had owners tell me it doesn't matter, the game has to be fixed, it's broken. If we have to lock out the whole year, we will.
Alex Rodriguez 0:50
New episodes air every Thursday. Don't miss out.
Tracy Alloway 0:59
Hey there, Oddlots listeners. It's Tracy Alloway.
Joe Weisenthal 1:02
And Joe Wisenthal.
Tracy Alloway 1:04
We are very excited to announce that Oddlots is going to Washington.
Joe Weisenthal 1:08
That's right. For the first time, we are going to do a live public Odlots recording in our nation's capital. That's gonna be March twelfth in Washington, DC at the Miracle Theater. And guests will be announced in the coming days, but in the meantime, you can find a ticket link at Bloomberg.com slash oddlots.
Scarlett Fu 1:30
Bloomberg Audio Studios,
Carol Masser 1:33
Podcasts, Radio News.
Tracy Alloway 1:46
Hello and welcome to another episode of the Odd Thoughts Podcast. I'm Tracy Alloway.
Joe Weisenthal 1:51
And I'm Joe Weisenthal.
Tracy Alloway 1:53
Joe, as part of my preparation for this episode, I have spent the morning on TikTok and Twitter slash X, Instagram, watching videos.
Joe Weisenthal 2:04
Did you find any good techniques that you are going to employ for generating ten two hundred thousand dollars a year on two hundred and fifty thousand dollars in capital by selling short term options?
Tracy Alloway 2:15
You know what? First of all, there are so many accounts that are basically pitching Trading with derivatives, options, some variation of those nowadays. I did, to your point, find a guy, a video of a guy saying that a thousand dollars is only nine doubles away from becoming a million. And a million a million is only ten doubles away from a billion. So That's true too.
Joe Weisenthal 2:40
I think that sounds roughly right. Yeah. So what's the catch? It you know, s it someone's gotta do it.
Tracy Alloway 2:45
No catch, Joe. It's it's all good. We can all be billionaires. No, I think I think the thing about derivatives trading nowadays is when it started, it was very much a retail phenomenon. It was, you know, the guys on Wall Street bets yo loing into some crazy derivatives trade, basically buying a lottery ticket on the market. But what's happened since then is derivatives have really gone mainstream in various ways. So for instance, if you look at options like across the S P five hundred right now, something like sixty percent of the volume is shorter dated options. So zero DTE or one DTE, which is kind of crazy.
Joe Weisenthal 3:28
It's totally crazy. You know, I remember first do you remember, Tracy, early on when we started at Bloomberg, you brought in there was someone, I forget who it was, but there was someone from some sort of like actual like institutional options trading research firm that came in and did this little like mini seminar for some of the reporters on like how to analyze options data. Do you remember? doing that you brought in anyway, but one of his points was is that the purpose of options are like they're largely hed hedging instruments. They're sort of tactically used by institutions for very specific purposes. You know, insurance, essentially, that options sort of played this role as insurance for specific things.
Joe Weisenthal 4:13
And then since then, I get the impression that the world has just like totally changed. And I think the other thing that surprised me, I would have guessed that if we're sitting here in 2025, that that craziness of 2021 would have been some sort of peak, right? There was a Robin Hood era, meme stock era, et cetera. I would not have guessed. the durability of it, especially with the Fed having hiked and everything that we've seen transpire since

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