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On Point

ep 372 | The SpaceX IPO is bigger than you think

09 Jun 2026

Transcription

Transcript generated automatically by AI and may contain errors.

Chapter 1: What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

0.031 - 22.55 Mark Lister

On Point with Craig's Investment Partners. The information provided here is general in nature and it's not financial advice. It doesn't take into account your situation, objectives, goals or risk tolerance. All investments are subject to risks and none are guaranteed. Before you make any investment decisions, we recommend you contact an investment advisor.

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23.01 - 34.47 Mark Lister

For more information about our services or to view the Craig's Investment Partners financial advice provider disclosure statement, please visit our website, which is craigsip.com. Welcome to On Point.

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34.63 - 48.043 Mark Lister

I'm Mark Lister, Investment Director at Craig's Investment Partners, and I'll be talking about a range of topics including economics, portfolio strategy, investor education, and anything else that's happening out there in financial markets.

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48.462 - 78.3 Unknown

SpaceX is coming, team. It's coming soon, and it's going to be big. One of the largest listed companies in the world, in fact. Now, the Elon Musk-founded business is expected to raise $75 billion in its IPO. That stands for Initial Public Offering, and that will see it debut with the share market ticket code of SPCX, for SpaceX, obviously, and a valuation of almost US $1.8 trillion.

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78.28 - 97.808 Unknown

That would put it among the biggest publicly traded companies on the planet from day one. Now, whether this valuation is justified is an area of intense debate right now. Some people see an extraordinary growth story that spans launch services, satellite communications and A.I.,

97.788 - 126.681 Unknown

others are questioning whether a company that is not yet profitable should command such a lofty price tag and i don't know the answer to that but if you want to know more one of our research team has written a report on spacex and it will very much focus on what the company does its business units and its opportunities i actually think the more interesting story here at least for me is what the ipo tells us about the way financial markets themselves are evolving

126.661 - 154.761 Unknown

because while US $75 billion is a very, very big number, it is only 4% to 5% of that $1.8 trillion market value. Now, SpaceX has talked about allocating a bigger slice than usual of that IPO pie to retail investors, but it's still a much smaller total size that is hitting the market for investors to buy and sell than you would usually see in an IPO as a proportion of total market value.

154.741 - 177.471 Unknown

And that relatively limited supply of shares does mean that the mechanics of the lock-up periods, index eligibility, and the gradual release of additional shares to the market all become much more important. It's especially relevant at a time when some companies, like SpaceX, are staying private for longer and then arriving on the public markets at an unprecedented scale.

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That also raises some really interesting questions for the providers of many share market indices. Investors have embraced index funds and ETFs because of their simplicity, the instant diversification they offer, and their low-cost nature.

Chapter 2: What is the significance of the upcoming SpaceX IPO?

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The expectations embedded in the current valuation are already very high, but I strongly suspect that the business will look much more consequential five years from now. If I'm investing in a broad market ETF next month or in three months time, I think I'd rather it included SpaceX than didn't.

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The headlines will focus on rockets, the lightning rod that is Elon Musk, and some eye-watering numbers. However, an equally relevant story might be how markets are adapting to accommodate a new generation of mega companies. That's all for today, team. I hope that was useful. Thanks for listening. We'll talk again soon. Enjoy your week.

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