Why Oracle is Crashing Right Now

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Prof G Markets 27 min 5 speakers 4 chapters transcribed 1 month ago
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Noam Hassenfeld 0:00
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Ryan Reynolds 0:40
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Scott Galloway 1:52
Today's number Sixty. That is the percentage of Americans who say they have had a paranormal experience. These are events that involve visions of ghosts and in some cases demons. In fact, I had one last night when I watched Fox and Friends.
Gil Luria 2:10
Money markets mess. If money is evil, then that building is hell. Show goes up!
Scott Galloway 2:20
Welcome to Profit Markets. I'm Ed Elson. It is December 16th. Let's check in on yesterday's market vitals. The major indices fell ahead of the jobs report, which will be out this morning. Bitcoin dropped back below $86,000. Broadcom suffered its worst three-day sell-off since 2020. And finally, Tesla closed at a high for the year after Elon Musk confirmed that the company is testing driverless robotaxis in Austin. Okay, what else is happening? Oracle stock has taken a serious tumble since last week's earnings miss. The stock fell roughly 11% on Thursday following their quarterly report, in which revenue fell short and it raised its CapEx guidance again. Shares then dropped another 5% on Friday after Bloomberg reported that Oracle has delayed completion of OpenAI-related data centers, and the stock fell another 3% yesterday, as shares remained.
Scott Galloway 3:17
Under pressure, all told, Oracle is off forty percent from its September peak. So here to help us make sense of what is going on with Oracle. We are speaking with Gil Luria, head of technology research at DA Davidson. Gil, good to see you. Good to see you. Thanks for having me. So Oracle reports earnings on Thursday. Uh misses on revenue, not a huge miss, but then what we're seeing is a pretty phenomenal reaction down eleven percent on Thursday, then it keeps on sliding, sliding again uh after the weekend. What are investors most concerned about right now?
Gil Luria 3:56
Well, Oracle was put in a precarious position by OpenAI. Three months ago, OpenAI promised them, you know, we're going to spend $300 billion with you over the next five years. And at the time, that was OpenAI's biggest commitment, and it looked like it was going to come to fruition. And at the time, it even looked like Oracle had won that over all the other possible providers of data center capacity. But what we Found out in the subsequent couple of months is that OpenAI was making a lot of commitments to a lot of companies, $1.4 trillion in total, which at some point we all realize they didn't actually intend to live up to.

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