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Real Coffee with Scott Adams

Episode 3060 CWSA 01/02/26

02 Jan 2026

Transcription

Chapter 1: How are stocks performing at the start of the year?

0.031 - 43.977 Scott Adams

Let's check on our stocks. Not bad. Stocks are up a little bit. Tesla's up a little bit. All right, we're starting the year off right. Excellent. Let me make sure I can see your local comments. And then we'll have a show you've been waiting for. A show of shows. All right. That's working. Oh, come on. Typing through tears. Let's just enjoy our morning, okay? How about the simultaneous sip?

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43.997 - 45.359 Scott Adams

Because I know why you're here.

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45.379 - 45.939 Unknown

That's working.

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46.6 - 81.791 Scott Adams

Whoops. Stop it. I interrupted myself. Okay, let's try that again. All you need is a copper mug, or a glass, a tank, or a chalice, or a stein, a canteen, a jug, or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called simultaneous sip.

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82.593 - 121.54 Scott Adams

It happens now. The simultaneity, it never disappoints. So one of the things I told you I like a lot is when people who are way smarter than me agree with me because it makes me feel smarter. So the CEO of Perplexity, that's one of the big AI apps, Arvind Srinivas, he says the biggest threat to data centers is intelligence that runs locally on your device.

122.662 - 146.56 Scott Adams

So I think I've been telling you for a while that the big AI companies are building enormous multi-billion dollar data centers. And as an investor, I would be concerned that things could change instantly. And one of the things that could change instantly is if somebody figured out how to do AI without the data center.

147.957 - 172.297 Scott Adams

Now, it seems impossible, but on the other hand, if you started with the data center training and then just added your own intelligence and your own stuff, how close could you get to a working AI that didn't need to be connected to a data center? I think that's coming.

173.539 - 209.043 Scott Adams

Anyway, speaking of AI, Sam Altman of ChatGPT and OpenAI, apparently he's got a different vision than Elon Musk does about what's going to happen to your apps. So in his world, ChatGPT will have its own app store and maybe replace the Apple app store. But so far, They have not really been successful. So they have some apps, but they're not, you know, it's not doing everything a phone can do.

209.824 - 230.142 Scott Adams

So they think their big competition is Apple and the iPhone, but they can't quite get apps to work. I don't know if they will. Now, the difference is that Elon says there won't be apps per se. There might just be one version of AI on your

Chapter 2: What is Sam Altman's vision for the future of AI apps?

984.6 - 1012.781 Scott Adams

So if you're a Democrat, would this drive you crazy if you saw that the president was claiming a 64% approval but had no poll whatsoever to back it? It would make you crazy. How does it make you feel if you support Trump? Well, I'm in that category. To me, it's just as funny.

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1013.843 - 1037.458 Scott Adams

I love the fact that he just throws that out there because he knows that his critics are going to go crazy and it doesn't make any difference whatsoever to his supporters. We just watch the show. So when he does that salesman-ish thing and he just throws out this giant number that can't be supported, it just makes me laugh. And I don't think anybody else would know

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1038.282 - 1068.238 Scott Adams

that that could be like a workable strategy instead of insane. Oh, speaking of which, so Trump also had a physical. He claims he's in, quote, perfect health, and that he aced the third cognitive exam he's been asked to take in his time as president. He says, the White House doctors have reported that I am in, now all caps, perfect health, and that I aced

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1068.775 - 1103.045 Scott Adams

all capitals, meaning he was correct on 100% of the questions asked for the third straight time. My cognitive examination, something which no other president or previous vice president was willing to take, Trump wrote. Now, again, do you hate the fact that he's claiming his cognitive test success? No. Will it bother his critics for whatever reason? Yes.

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1103.905 - 1138.182 Scott Adams

So if it bothers his critics and it doesn't bother his supporters, that's a sweet spot. He has a sweet spot. Well, over in Israel, apparently Netanyahu and the Israeli government is going to enforce a ban on 37 NGOs in Gaza. So they believe that at least 37 of them are maybe sneaking in bad guys or doing something that Israel would not want them to do and is not in their charter.

1139.624 - 1170.282 Scott Adams

So if you had heard this story a few years ago, what would you assume was happening? You might assume that Israel was being mean and they were removing the sources of charity for the region that they conquered. And you might say, my God, these brutal monsters are cutting our NGO support. But what do you think in 2026?

1170.302 - 1209.027 Scott Adams

In 2026, now that we know the NGOs are massive money laundering schemes, and probably in this case, being used as some kind of disguise for moving in things that could be weapons, for example, maybe as other terrorists. So it makes me wonder, is there ever been an NGO that was good? Or are all NGOs just automatically a signal for fraud and a signal for something you don't want to happen?

1210.272 - 1234.913 Scott Adams

I don't know. But I'll tell you, it does seem to suggest there's never been a good NGO. And that every single time you hear about one, there's something sketchy going on. Probably. All right, well, here's a story. It was just complicated enough that I don't fully understand it, but I'll try.

1235.737 - 1265.736 Scott Adams

So according to Jennifer O'Connell, writing for Red State, Trump has already this year vetoed two things at least. And one of the things he vetoed was a decades-old legislation that was tied all the way back to John F. Kennedy 63 years ago, where they had put together a deal where the federal government would pay for this massive pipeline project.

Chapter 3: How does Tesla plan to integrate Chinese components in their robots?

1631.191 - 1638.057 Scott Adams

All right. I've asked you this before, but I'm going to add a little details. I have a favor to ask.

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1638.644 - 1675.926 Scott Adams

you'll see a post that I pinned to my X feed, it's the one at the top, in which I'm asking you if I helped you in any way, or let's say my work, if my work helped you in any way to leave the message in that post, because my good friend and now biographer, Joel Pollack, I've asked him to write my biography. And a big part of the biography will be some notion of what I added to the universe.

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1676.827 - 1699.279 Scott Adams

So if you have a story to tell, or you know somebody that does, do me a favor and leave a comment just so we know what the general thrust is. And then follow Joel. You'll see his X handle in my posts. Give him a follow.

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1699.765 - 1733.267 Scott Adams

because if he sees something in the comments that would look good or he wants to follow up with in the book, he will have a way to contact you so he could follow you back and DM you. Okay? That would be a big favor to me. I would appreciate that. Well, Iran apparently is having some big protests in the street. So I saw some reporting that We'll see if I've trained you well enough to spot this.

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1734.308 - 1772.383 Scott Adams

The claim is that there are now 32 cities where there will be protests, 32 cities. Now, give me the filter on that. Do you think that 32 cities are really going to have protests? All right, here's the filter. We'll see how many of you got it. How big would the protests be in those 32 cities? Because I heard yesterday that the 32-city thing might be true, but some of them would be small crowds.

1773.825 - 1801.295 Scott Adams

So there's a big difference between a small crowd of protesters and an overwhelming number. But we don't see how many of the 32 are going to be big or have been big, and how many of them are just A few hundred people took the streets, so they added it to the count. But what is new and interesting is that Trump weighed in on this.

1801.315 - 1829.474 Scott Adams

I thought he would stay out of it because you don't want the Iranian people to organize against the U.S. You want them to keep their focus on their own government. And like I said, I don't know. Is it a color revolution? Is it completely organic? Or is it really... something that the U.S. and Israel are behind. I would be surprised if it's 100% organic. You know what I mean?

1830.215 - 1848.893 Scott Adams

So I don't think we can tell from here how effective those things are going to be. But here's what Trump said on True Social. He said, if Iran kills peaceful protesters, we will come to their rescue.

1849.953 - 1878.846 Scott Adams

locked and loaded and ready to go so trump is basically saying that the u.s would get involved militarily if the regime murders any of their peaceful protesters is that a good idea here again i'm making you can make an assumption because it's not the way we've acted in the past but my assumption is that trump knows more about this than we do

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