The Best One Yet
🔮 “The Predictions Pod” — Apple iToilet, Disney Airlines, and Home Depot Homes.
Mon, 06 Jan 2025
#1. Apple iTush — Apple will launch a smart toilet (aka “iTush”) to expand its push into health.#2. Disney Airlines — Disney will acquire Spirit Airlines to bring its cruise strategy to the skies.#3. Home Depot Homes — Home Depot will sell mail-order homes to fix the housing market.To kick off 2025, we whipped up our 6th annual “3 big business wishes” for the coming year. These aren’t just predictions, they’re wild wishes that if you think about it, make a ton of sense. Predictions sprinkled with razzle dazzle & sprinkle dinkle.Hit us up @tboypod to let us know what you think of these predictions… and to let us know yours.——————————————Subscribe to our new (2nd) show… The Best Idea Yet: Wondery.fm/TheBestIdeaYetLinksEpisodes drop weekly. It’s The Best Idea Yet.GET ON THE POD: Submit a shoutout or fact: https://tboypod.com/shoutouts FOR MORE NICK & JACK: Newsletter: https://tboypod.com/newsletter Connect with Nick: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nicolas-martell/ Connect with Jack: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jack-crivici-kramer/ SOCIALS:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tboypod TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tboypodYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@tboypod Anything else: https://tboypod.com/ See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Chapter 1: What are the big business wishes for 2025?
Dude, my preference is Tush. If you want to go with Tushy, it might be funny if we do both. Well, I think that Tushy is the lower priced model, Jack. This is Nick. This is Jack. Welcome back. It is Monday, January 6th, and today's predictions pod is the best one yet. This is a T-boy. Our top three pop business wishes for 2025.
Well, Jack, I got to say, you're looking fantastic because you are a whole lot tanner over there than two weeks ago. I'm back from Bahamas slash Florida. Nick, you're back from Hawaii. Do people get tan in Hawaii? They do, and I ate more spam than I usually do. I thought pineapples were in Hawaii, not spam. It's a smoothie obsession you've got.
Yetis, this is our first pod of 2025, and it is already... the best pod of 2025. Because this is our predictions pod, our three big business wishes for 2025. Jack and I have spent hours at the crystal ball. Jack, what are our three predictions for this year? For our first wish, Disney will acquire Spirit Airlines out of bankruptcy and rebrand it Disney Air.
Disney, they already dominate hospitality on land and on sea. Why not in the sky? For our second wish, Apple will launch a smart toilet. This will be Apple's eye tush. An Apple smart toilet. Yetis, after we tell you why Apple should create a smart toilet. You're going to be shocked they haven't done this yet, honestly. And our third and final wish. Home Depot should begin selling homes.
Jack and I got a bold plan for Home Depot to fix the housing market with actual homes. But Yetis, before we hit that wonderful mix of stories. than this. No one's wishing for this. Yeti's the number two rule of prediction podcasts. What is it, Nick? Jack, here's what it is. We got to check ourselves from last year's predictions.
So we're dusting off the old whiteboard and we're looking at how we did in last year's predictions. Jack, I'm looking at the numbers right now and last year's predictions went... we were one-ish for three. One-ish, basically one for three. Now, we should point out, we call these wishes because we wish they would happen. And we think that they could happen.
Because there's serious business merit behind each of these wishes we have in this episode. And Jack and I discuss, debate, analyze, and finance each one of these wishes before we prepare them for this podcast. So think of them more as wishes than predictions. but yeah. All right, so Jack, let's walk through them. How'd we do last year? One-ish for three. What did we do?
We wished that Robinhood would merge with Twitter. And that didn't happen. Something very different happened to Twitter, while Robinhood had a major rebound on its own. But overall, the two companies did nothing together, so that wish was wrong. Now, our second prediction, we wished that Taylor Swift would launch her own ticketing service in 2024. It's me. Hi, Ticketmaster. I'm your problem.
It's me. We would have called it Swiftix. And she could have disrupted the feeocracy by ending outrageous ticket fees. Like the fee fee. But Taylor, she was too busy. So she didn't have time to launch a business. And that wish was wrong. 0 for 2. Okay, our third prediction. We wished that Trader Joe's would launch a streaming service. We did. Call it TJTV+. And Jack, that one...
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Chapter 2: How will Disney Airlines change the travel experience?
And it's not just Apple interested in health. Amazon acquired One Medical. Google acquired Fitbit. And Silicon Valley has basically gone off to med school. Or nursing school. Both. So besties, add all that up, and we think Apple's next big product should actually be a smart toilet. An iTush. An iTush. A tech-enabled toilet that samples your waste for critical health information.
And your stool is its sample. Your duty is its data. It can measure your blood sugar level, your cardiovascular situation, whether you have COVID or not. It can even be an early predictor of cancer, all with a toilet through your waste. All that currently exists in the smart toilet market. Apple should launch one too. And here's why it's perfect for Apple. Product design. Totally, Jack.
I can picture a white porcelain elegant toilet sitting in the Apple store right now. All over this show. Literally, literally. Like a simple, smooth, clean toilet. It is a literal throne upon which Apple would be a design king. Think about it from a pricing perspective. The smart toilet market is premium and it's growing. It is.
The average price is $6,000 for one of these smart toilets, and it's currently growing at 10% a year. So the same customer willing to pay $2,000 for a MacBook and $600 for an Apple Watch would gladly pay $6,000 for an iTush. All right, now, Jack, let's look at the market, because the current smart toilet industry is pretty fragmented. Apple, the brand, would immediately stand out from the rest.
In fact, there are more toilets in America than there are cars, so it's actually a bigger market than you realize. But when it comes to tech, they're always thinking about metrics. They love engagement. What is more engaging than a toilet? We discovered that the average American visits a toilet six to ten times a day. I mean, if you're fewer or more than that, you might want to call your doctor.
That is consistent, reliable engagement. Perhaps most wild about this is the sanitary benefits. True, because Apple would probably add a basic iPad to manage the whole bidet feature. And that iPad would allow you to keep your phone out of the bathroom. That'd be a huge reduction in germs in our society.
In fact, according to science, your butt shape is unique to you, just like your face is unique to you and your thumbprint is unique to you. It's called your butt print. It's actually called an anal print, Jack, but we can go with butt print too. So when you sit down on the toilet, it unlocks because it recognizes you.
just like Apple has Face ID, they could apply the same technology to your butt ID. Add it all up. It's actually surprising they haven't already launched the eye toilet. Also, Jack, what's the one word that Apple has built its whole brand around that begins with P? Privacy. And what do you ask for when you go to the bathroom? Privacy. Privacy.
I'll tell you, I would never entrust my one and two data to any tech company except Apple. Amazon would somehow end up upselling you on toilet paper. So Jack, what's the takeaway for our buddies over at Apple? Apple should launch the iTush because it would go where the competition isn't. Yetis, since the pandemic, big tech has been battling for your home.
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Chapter 3: What is the concept behind Apple's smart toilet, the iTush?
Well, today, our three most powerful big box stores and banks surely could pull off the same thing. Takes a village to build a village, and the villagers will be your future customers. Yes, they will. Jack, could you whip up the takeaways for us for our 2025 predictions pod? Disney should acquire Spirit Airlines and rebrand it Disney Airlines.
Disney Airlines, because Wall Street doesn't like airlines, but Wall Street loves credit cards, especially a Disney credit card. For our second story, it's Apple. Apple should launch a smart toilet and brand it the iTush. The I booty because Apple should go where no competition has gone before, the bathroom. That's where the health data is. And our third and final story was the Home Depot.
Home Depot should start selling homes to solve the housing crisis. Yes, they should. JP Morgan provides financing and Walmart provides furniture. It takes a village to build a village and those villagers become customers. Now, time for the best fact yet, this one predicted by Nick and Jack, because it's all about predictions.
Speaking of predictions, that's a topic that Wall Street publishes every single year. Oh, Jack, there is nothing investors appreciate more than a good old-fashioned stock market prediction. And at the beginning of every year, financial analysts predict where the NASDAQ, the Dow, and the S&P 500 will end up at the end of the year. But here's our big question as we look back on the data.
How accurate actually are these stock market predictions? They're highly inaccurate. In fact, besties, get this. On average, stock market forecasts are wrong, really wrong. In fact, so wrong, we got the numbers. According to the New York Times, over the last 20 years, the median Wall Street forecast for the S&P 500 was off by 14 percentage points. Ooh. off by 14 percentage points.
Like in 2022, the average forecast was that stocks would rise 4%. Stocks actually fell 19%. In 2023, they forecast that stocks would rise 6%. But stocks rose 22%. And this is wild. But in 2024, JP Morgan predicted that markets would actually go down. In 2024, markets soared by 25%. 25%. So besties, whatever stock market prediction you hear right now is probably wrong.
Even our predictions in this episode, they're probably wrong. But wouldn't it be awesome if they were right? Yes, it would, Jack. That's why we call them wishes. Yetis, you look fantastic to start the new year. And if Jack and I have any wish for you, it's that you will share this 2025 predictions pod. If you've never shared our show before, this is the episode to share. So here's what you do.
Take the link to this episode and text it to your best friend. Text it to your best buddies out there. And then let us know what you think of these predictions. Like, is Apple gonna launch the iTushy? Is Home Depot gonna solve the housing market? Drop us a comment right now on YouTube, Spotify, or on Instagram. Also, we want to hear your predictions. What do you think Snapchat's going to do?
What's going to happen with AI? Sam Altman, is he still going to be everywhere next year? So besties, we are pumped to start 2025 with you. Jack, so excited to be back with you. Should we make our regular podcast tomorrow and go back to our routine? Tomorrow's episode will be the best one yet. The top three pop business news stories you need to know. Yetis, it's going to be a T-boy.
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