Ohio State Around the Shoe: Buckeyes' tough football schedule & what to make of their 9.5 win total

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The Bill and Doug Show: Ohio State Football Talk 1h 8m 5 speakers 8 chapters transcribed 5 months ago
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What is the focus of the discussion on Ohio State's football schedule?

Doug Lesmerises 0:05
Welcome back to the Bill & Doug Show. It's Around the Shoe. Doug Lamerace and Bill Landis joined every Monday by two outstanding media members. And boy, do we have some big hitters this week. Ari Wasserman from On3. Matt Fortuna from the Inside Zone. We're doing college football over-under win totals. They're out on FanDuel. We'll take a big picture look at the sport. We're going to talk about Ohio State, a couple other teams. But Ari, you have been with us on the Bill & Doug Show before. You haven't been on Around the Shoe. Thanks for being here, man.
Ari Wasserman 0:33
It's always a pleasure to be here, guys. Love the logo. Love that it's the bad show still because and is just replacing Ari. It works. You guys do a great show, a great job, and love spending time with you anytime I can.
Doug Lesmerises 0:48
Love to have you here. And Matt Fortuna, you're back for another run at it. You didn't bail on us after you did the first one. So thanks for coming back, man.
Matt Fortuna 0:56
We made some outlandish Big Ten playoff predictions last time I was on the show. And maybe we'll have something similar cooking up here with over-under win totals.
Doug Lesmerises 1:03
We are getting outlandish here. So we're going to start with an Ohio State topic because I do find Ohio State's win total. These are coming off a fan duel. Maybe the most interesting in the country. Ohio State is at 9.5 wins for the season as they're over-under win total. They do have an interesting schedule, but Ari, as you think about this 9.5 for Ohio State, what's the word or phrase you would use to describe what you think of this number for the Buckeyes? Yes, please.
Ari Wasserman 1:35
I looked this up, and you guys know, having worked with me for so many years, I'm not good at research, but I looked this up. And I'm sure you know this off the top of your head just institutionally, and I should have. But when's the last time Ohio State did not win 10 regular season games? And you know the answer. It was the fickle disaster in 2011. Right. I get that they're playing Texas, and I get that their schedule is different now that the expansion has occurred. I have a hard time envisioning Ohio State losing three times in a regular season. Just period. And I know that they have a lot of turnover. And, you know, it's a different world now. And maybe I'm just being fooled by past, which is the number one sin of the Doug and Bill show, right?
Ari Wasserman 2:20
Using past to rely on the future. What has to happen for Ohio State to lose three times?
Doug Lesmerises 2:28
some version of disaster probably no matter how hard the schedule is. Right. So that, that's kind of what you're saying, right? Yeah.
Ari Wasserman 2:35
Yeah. Yeah. So I would take the over very confidently unless it's like minus one 75, it might be, you know, how they get kind of minus one 58, minus one 58. See that, you know, you're, you're paying a little bit of a juice there. Cause I think Vegas is, is trying to get people to bet the under, but like, I do think that, you know, it's a very like 10 and two, isn't a good year for them. So, you know, if you're bringing back a Heisman finalist quarterback and the best player in the country and certainly at his position and you have that track record, like I can't imagine how it would not land at least 10.
Doug Lesmerises 3:09
Yeah. Okay. So Ari, you already on it, Ari, or no?
Ari Wasserman 3:13
No, not yet. I don't like laying those types of odds in the offseason, although I do kind of feel like it's going – like it's definitely going to cash. But I have to really sink my teeth into what I'm already – I've got women's basketball games that we're crushing through today. One thing at a time. We've got NBA futures out there. We're chugging along, but usually around June and May is when I really start to sink my teeth into future action.

How does Ohio State's 9.5 win total compare to their schedule?

Doug Lesmerises 3:37
Okay. All right. Matt Fortuna, you already, like, again, this is one of those, this is not a gambling show, but when you get into some of these over-unders, sometimes the juice is so heavy each way, like just looking at the numbers a little skewed, but still 9.5 is the number. Matt, what do you think of it?
Matt Fortuna 3:52
I don't see how this doesn't cash. I think I said this off air. We're in the process of moving and buying a house.

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