549. Mamdani’s Wrecking Ball and the Rise of Anti-Migrant Vigilantes

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The Rest Is Politics 43 min 2 speakers 8 chapters transcribed 2 months ago
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What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

Rory Stewart 0:00
How does an opposition party define its identity after it loses? That's the question hanging over American politics this week. Zoran Mamdani has suddenly become much more than a mayor. Every congressional candidate he endorsed won, including two who unseated incumbent Democrats. Some people think it's proof that the Democratic Party is now moving decisively left. But I think the more interesting question is whether New York is telling us anything at all about voters and the midterms. And this week, one of the questions we've received is whether Mamdani is the future of the Democratic Party, or in reality, a gift to the Republicans and Trump. The answer could determine the future of the United States.

How is Zohran Mamdani influencing the Democratic Party?

Rory Stewart 0:49
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Alastair Campbell 1:53
Welcome to the rest of Spoilers Question Time with me, Alistair Campbell. And with me, Rory Stewart. And we're going to be talking about Zora Mamdani and what he says about the future of the Democrats in the United States. We're going to be talking about whether there might be a new party in Australia. We're going to talk about some horrible stuff happening in South Africa and the treatment of their undocumented immigrants there. And we'll maybe have to touch a little bit, I think, at some point, Rory, upon the World Cup. But let's start with Mamdani. Catherine in New York. Mamdani can't run for president himself. That's because he was born in Uganda, not the US. But is he effectively already running a shadow presidential campaign through the candidates he's backing?
Alastair Campbell 2:33
And if the Democratic Party establishment keeps dismissing New York as a one-off, aren't they making exactly the same mistake they made with Trump in 2015?
Rory Stewart 2:42
first thing is what mamdani did in new york it's amazing and people who haven't been following it what effectively happened is that he backed three candidates against the democratic party establishment against in fact sitting members of congress who were democrats so i don't know whether people can reach for a british analogy but it would be as though i don't know Sadiq Khan suddenly decided he was going to run his own MPs against sitting Labour MPs and ran them from the far left.

What does Mamdani's success in New York signify for midterm elections?

Rory Stewart 3:14
And he achieved these incredible results. So Claire Valdez came in in Brooklyn. Brad Lander defeated Dan Goldman. Dan Goldman is a Levi Strausser, very, very wealthy man, two-term incumbent congressman, backed by AIPAC, pro-Israeli. And he beat him by a 30-point margin, 30-point margin. But perhaps most dramatically of all was the New York 13. And the reason why we're talking about the primaries is that these are such safe Democratic seats that whoever wins the Democratic primary goes on to enter Congress. It was Dariel Azchevalier, who's 33 years old, defeated a five-term incumbent congressman, Adriano Espaillat, who is the congressional chair of the Hispanic caucus. And these are happening in very, very different areas.
Rory Stewart 4:04
That's the other thing. It's very difficult to generalize. You know, one of them, Brad Lander's victory, was in one of the wealthiest districts in New York, median income about $120,000 median income and 61% graduate.

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