Wall Street Roundup: What isn't priced in?

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Wall Street Breakfast 8 min 2 speakers 4 chapters transcribed 2 months ago
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What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

Amrina Sherbal 0:10
Brian Stewart, our Director of News. Welcome back to another week of Wall Street Roundup. Are we starting tech?

What happened with Micron's blowout earnings and why did the stock move so erratically?

Unknown 0:19
Yeah, I think Micron was the big news this time around, so we should jump in there. Market reaction was kind of interesting, just sort of taking it in broad terms. So Micron reported better than expected results. Revenue more than quadrupled from last year to $41 billion, about. Strong guidance. They said AI demand is still accelerating. However, supplies remain tight. So basically the exact market you want for the company. Stock was up 16% on earnings, but the follow-through through the sector in general was much more muted. Also, you're seeing a situation where Micron has gotten more volatile in recent days. So it rallied on Monday afternoon. um hit a new high and then we had the general sort of market sell-off tech worry sell-off on tuesday which micron was down pretty sharply and that down double digits and then you saw the pop back up after the earnings so you saw micron set a new high on monday beat that new high right after its earnings but then the stock is down today as below where it was obviously at its high but also below the high that it reached on monday meanwhile you have other stocks like if you look at the the general tech space
Unknown 1:33
This time around, you take the large cap winners in the past week, you see a very defensive situation. So you see Merck, J&J, Lilly, Home Depot, Coke. These are the stocks that have been showing strength in the past week. And then on the downside, you see stocks like Arm and Oracle and Palantir. So basically, you're kind of AI set falling behind. And that's despite the fact that you have Micron as a... catalyst. So the overall reaction to Micron, if you could summarize it, is something like this is an A++++ earnings report, could not be better. However, after some reflection, a lot of this was already baked into the stock.
Amrina Sherbal 2:12
So much is priced in.

How much of Micron's strong AI-driven revenue growth was already priced into the stock?

Amrina Sherbal 2:13
So much is priced in already.
Unknown 2:15
Well, that's worrisome if you're a bull, just in the sense that if a super blockbuster quadrupling of revenue earnings report is already priced into the stock. There's not a lot that isn't pricing the stock. So you're looking to a situation where one stumble could make a big downside.
Amrina Sherbal 2:33
Check out Investing Experts podcast to see what to do with your money instead of going to those stocks. Update on SpaceX. Where are we at with?
Unknown 2:42
It's interesting. Like I remember a while ago, we talked about Tesla kind of every week. And I think Elon Musk just has a gift for that, like putting his his stock just top of mind all the time. I think SpaceX is becoming sort of a proxy for people's opinions about, you know, optimistic tech, you know, like future tech, you know, the stocks that are more about promise than they are about the current revenue stream. I think SpaceX is becoming sort of the bellwether for that. So, you know, recently the price and IPO at 135 a share, it opened at 150. rallied to around 225 and now it's back down to just over 150. So it's basically back to where it started, still above its IPO price. But in terms of where it opened, it's pretty much just on a round trip.
Unknown 3:29
The catalyst for the recent dip has been it's selling $25 billion in bonds. This is after it made $86 billion off of its IPO. So $75 billion in the initial and then the overdraft for that got it up to $86 billion. So the company now has more than $100 billion in cash from all these cash rages. And I just think this played into the narrative of the hyperscalers flooding the market with these bonds. I just think there's a worry that this is all kind of frothy. There's a sign that maybe these companies are kind of getting as much cash as they can at the top of the market. They know something we don't kind of thing. So that was the initial callous for sending it down. If you look at the tech stocks in general, I thought web wish had kind of an interesting way of framing it.
Unknown 4:17
They called it an air pocket market. So basically the pilots coming on saying there's turbulence ahead, we're going to stop beverage delivery or whatever they call it.

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