Arash Azizi

But it's not so simple precisely because it involves all these little details and unpredictable consequences.

Iranian regime will not capitulate so easily and the economy will not collapse to the point of it, you know, the country becoming unlivable suddenly.

I mean, I've read widely on different experts talking about this, and my assessment is that it's basically overplayed.

Yes, it is a problem if you can't expire oil, but it's overplayed.

It's not in this way.

that it will be like an immediate game changer.

These are problems that Iranians had thought about before.

It's not like they had never predicted this could happen, right?

And they're not as stupid.

I mean, they're very resourceful people.

So they've thought of different ways of dealing with this.

A lot of these analysis and sort of advocacy in DC is always based on desired outcomes.

which leads into sort of optimistic analysis from their side, optimistic.

And that's one example.

It's not going to be an overnight game changer.

They'll find ways around it.

My big criticism or my counter is that, yes, there is infighting.

There's certainly some infighting.

there is this hardcore ideologues who are opposed to our, people like Marandi actually speak for them, right?

They say, no negotiating with the US and we should go to the fight and we should fight them.