Samuel Charap
speaker
472 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Mar 2026
last heard 24 Mar
Samuel Charap’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Mar 2026 with 1.
Appearances
So Belarus is essentially...
Russia's most important ally.
It provides Russia with this sort of strategic depth between itself and NATO.
And if it were to be if Moscow were to see itself as losing Belarus, you know, it would not hesitate to act.
And we've seen the potential for instability in Belarus, given that it has a highly authoritarian political system.
In 2020, in the summer, you might recall there was this large scale protest movement after
The results of a presidential election were falsified.
We have, you know, Alexander Lukashenko there as president for now going on 30 years.
So the potential for instability in an authoritarian system like that is always there.
Between Russia and NATO directly, one can imagine any number of different scenarios.
I mean, I think since it's in the news.
these sort of hybrid incidents where that, I mean, I don't love that term, but nonetheless, sort of sub-threshold of conventional war.
So sabotage, you know, these Russian...
paid agents apparently blowing up factories or attempting to subvert Western military aid for Ukraine, never involving uniformed Russian military personnel firing direct shots, but nonetheless are getting increasingly more assertive.
There's an increasing demand in a lot of countries, particularly in Central and Eastern Europe, to respond.
a kind of response could easily engender the kind of snowball effect that you've seen in the past when when wars like that break out.
Equally, you know, Russia conducts or has in the past conducted snap exercises.
So there are no notice exercises.
Most military exercises are scheduled in advance and press releases are made and so on.
But Russia has gotten in the habit of having these no notice exercises and that
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